Sunderland vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.31
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
134
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
61
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
11
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
96
Offsides
12
Fouls
69
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2117
Touches in the Opposition Box
1913
Passes
87% (499/575)68% (206/303)
Passes in the final third
66% (76/115)46% (49/106)
Crosses
0% (0/15)13% (1/8)
Tackles
79% (11/14)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
3417
Interceptions
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Le Fee E. , Hume T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Dabo L. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Isidor W. ,
  • 62', Dabo L. , Bowler J. ,
  • 62', Alli M. , Brown J. ,
  • 67', Morris C. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 67', Andersen M. , Naismith K. ,
  • 76', Rigg C. , Mayenda E. ,
  • 82', Aasgaard T. , Nordas L. ,
  • 86', Isidor W. , Abdul Samed S. ,
  • 90+4', Clark J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sunderland
64.9%
Draw
22.2%
Luton Town
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 24.6% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.9% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sunderland - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.68)
    4.32
    (3.84)
    7.45
    (4.98)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sunderland - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (48 of 53 users predict this - 90.57%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.7%98.44%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2.
    • Sunderland is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Luton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Browne A. (Broken Leg) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Watson T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Chong T. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sunderland - Luton Town were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Luton Town - Sunderland 1:2
    16.05.2023 Luton Town - Sunderland 2:0
    13.05.2023 Sunderland - Luton Town 2:1
    18.03.2023 Sunderland - Luton Town 1:1
    29.10.2022 Luton Town - Sunderland 1:1
    Latest results of Sunderland
    08.02.2025 Sunderland - Watford 2:2
    03.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Sunderland 2:3
    21.01.2025 Derby County - Sunderland 0:1
    17.01.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 0:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One