Result
1:0
18/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 33
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (233/324) | 79% (320/406) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (233/324) | 79% (320/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (69/114) | 69% (78/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Aimson W. 🟨,
- 27', Borges Rodrigues R. 🟨,
- 35', Richards J. 🟨,
- 37', Moxon O. 🟨,
- 44', Borges Rodrigues R. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Saydee C. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
- 59', Weir J. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 61', Richards J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 63', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 0, Taylor J. ⚽, Costelloe D. (A),
- 79', Taylor J. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
- 80', Moxon O. ↓, Sessegnon S. ↑,
- 82', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 83', Jones I. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 83', Mengi T. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 89', Sessegnon S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wigan Athletic
34.7% | Draw
29.5% | Luton Town
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Wigan Athletic - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.61) |
3.16 ↑
(3.15) |
2.61 ↑
(2.52) |
6.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Luton will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wigan (votes: 1 - 50%). Luton (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Wigan (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Wigan (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Wigan (votes: 3 - 75%). Luton (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1.
- Wigan is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Luton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wigan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Wigan: Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McHugh H.
(Inactive)
Rogers J.
(Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Walsh L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Hunt J.
(Injury)
Robinson L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Bramall C.
(Inactive)
Odoffin H.
(Inactive)
Sandal S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Luton Town?
Wigan Athletic has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Wigan Athletic?
Luton Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wigan Athletic - Luton Town were as follows:
19.08.2025
Luton Town
-
Wigan Athletic
1:0
21.01.2023
Wigan Athletic
-
Luton Town
0:2
17.01.2023
Wigan Athletic
-
Luton Town
1:2
07.01.2023
Luton Town
-
Wigan Athletic
1:1
03.09.2022
Luton Town
-
Wigan Athletic
1:2
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
