Luton Town vs Wigan Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Luton Town - Wigan Athletic
Result
1:0
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 4
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+, Sky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.98
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
78% (378/482)62% (153/247)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.58
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
127
Passes
78% (378/482)62% (153/247)
Long passes
37% (28/75)21% (14/67)
Passes in final third
64% (121/189)37% (27/73)
Crosses
20% (5/25)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.42
Throw-ins
3722
Fouls
712
Tackles
78% (7/9)62% (18/29)
Duels won
5764
Clearances
2149
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.580.55
Goals prevented
0.58-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Saville G. , Walsh L. (A),
  • 11', Brenan T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Brenan T. , Asamoah M. ,
  • 55', Kerr J. 🟨,
  • 55', Bramall C. , Nordas L. ,
  • 66', Kodua G. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 67', Saville G. 🟨,
  • 74', Wright C. , Costelloe D. ,
  • 74', Mullin P. , Saydee C. ,
  • 87', Robinson L. , Smith J. ,
  • 88', Weir J. , Hungbo J. ,
  • 90+2', Yates J. , Holmes T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
61.4%
Draw
24.8%
Wigan Athletic
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 24.3% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 26% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Luton Town - Wigan Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.57)
    3.89
    (3.65)
    7.1
    (4.57)
    4.3%
    (13%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Wigan Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 22 - 88%). Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 12%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 75.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
    • Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wigan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Luton is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Wigan: Adams J. (Knee Injury) Adeeko B. (Inactive) Mabaya I. (Injury) McManaman C. (Inactive) Rankine D. (Inactive) Smith M. (Hamstring Injury) Sze C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Chong T. (Groin Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wigan: Carragher J. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
    21.01.2023 Wigan Athletic - Luton Town 0:2
    17.01.2023 Wigan Athletic - Luton Town 1:2
    07.01.2023 Luton Town - Wigan Athletic 1:1
    03.09.2022 Luton Town - Wigan Athletic 1:2
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two