Result
1:0
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 4
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | LTFC+, Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 0.98 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
78% (378/482) | 62% (153/247) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 0.98 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.55 | 0.58 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
78% (378/482) | 62% (153/247) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (28/75) | 21% (14/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (121/189) | 37% (27/73) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (5/25) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.62 | 0.42 |
Throw-ins |
---|
37 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (7/9) | 62% (18/29) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 64 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 49 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.58 | 0.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.58 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Saville G. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),
- 11', Brenan T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Brenan T. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
- 55', Kerr J. 🟨,
- 55', Bramall C. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 66', Kodua G. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 67', Saville G. 🟨,
- 74', Wright C. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
- 74', Mullin P. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
- 87', Robinson L. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 88', Weir J. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
- 90+2', Yates J. ↓, Holmes T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town 61.4% | Draw 24.8% | Wigan Athletic 13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Luton Town - Wigan Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.57) |
3.89 ↑ (3.65) |
7.1 ↑ (4.57) |
4.3% (13%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Wigan Athletic?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 22 - 88%). Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 75.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
- Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wigan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Luton is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Wigan: Adams J.
(Knee Injury)
Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Mabaya I.
(Injury)
McManaman C.
(Inactive)
Rankine D.
(Inactive)
Smith M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sze C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Chong T.
(Groin Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Wigan: Carragher J.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Wigan Athletic?
Luton Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Luton Town?
Wigan Athletic has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
21.01.2023
Wigan Athletic
-
Luton Town
0:2
17.01.2023
Wigan Athletic
-
Luton Town
1:2
07.01.2023
Luton Town
-
Wigan Athletic
1:1
03.09.2022
Luton Town
-
Wigan Athletic
1:2
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cardiff | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
3 | Stevenage | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
5 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Barnsley | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Lincoln | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
8 | Doncaster | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Mansfield | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
11 | Luton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
12 | Wigan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Exeter | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
15 | Bolton | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
16 | Burton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
17 | Rotherham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
18 | Northampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
19 | Plymouth | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
20 | Blackpool | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
21 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
22 | Port Vale | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
23 | Reading | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
24 | Peterborough | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two