Result
1:0
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 4
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+, Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (378/482) | 62% (153/247) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (378/482) | 62% (153/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (28/75) | 21% (14/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (121/189) | 37% (27/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 62% (18/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Saville G. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),
- 11', Brenan T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Brenan T. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
- 55', Kerr J. 🟨,
- 55', Bramall C. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 66', Kodua G. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 67', Saville G. 🟨,
- 74', Wright C. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
- 74', Mullin P. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
- 87', Robinson L. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
- 88', Weir J. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
- 90+2', Yates J. ↓, Holmes T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
61.4% | Draw
24.8% | Wigan Athletic
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Luton Town - Wigan Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.57) |
3.89 ↑
(3.65) |
7.1 ↑
(4.57) |
4.3%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Wigan Athletic?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 22 - 88%). Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 75.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
- Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wigan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Luton is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Wigan: Adams J.
(Knee Injury)
Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Mabaya I.
(Injury)
McManaman C.
(Inactive)
Rankine D.
(Inactive)
Smith M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sze C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Chong T.
(Groin Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Wigan: Carragher J.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Wigan Athletic?
Luton Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Luton Town?
Wigan Athletic has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
21.01.2023
Wigan Athletic
-
Luton Town
0:2
17.01.2023
Wigan Athletic
-
Luton Town
1:2
07.01.2023
Luton Town
-
Wigan Athletic
1:1
03.09.2022
Luton Town
-
Wigan Athletic
1:2
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
