Result
3:3
04/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 8
- Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (289/357) | 85% (346/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (289/357) | 85% (346/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (68/100) | 79% (130/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 33% (11/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.10 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Freimann B. ⚽, Di Giusto M. (A),
- 7', Lavanchy N. 🟨,
- 23', 2 - 0, Sow N. (Own goal),
- 25', Nivokazi R. 🟨,
- 26', Hajrizi K. 🟨,
- 45+3', Grbic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 49', 2 - 1, Kololli B. (Pen),
- 57', Villiger L. ↓, Kabwit O. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 1, Grbic A. ⚽, Dorn P. (A),
- 68', Kabacalman A. ↓, Baltazar ↑,
- 68', Kololli B. ↓, Rrudhani D. ↑,
- 68', Lukembila J. ↓, Bouchlarhem T. ↑,
- 72', Dorn P. 🟨,
- 74', Di Giusto M. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 75', Silva Ferreira L. M. 🟨,
- 77', Bouchlarhem T. 🟥,
- 79', Hajrizi K. ↓, Chipperfield L. ↑,
- 79', Nivokazi R. ↓, Boteli W. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Boteli W. ⚽, Rrudhani D. (A),
- 86', Grbic A. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
- 86', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 3, Chipperfield L. ⚽, Racioppi A. (A),
- 90+4', Kronig J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luzern
56.8% | Draw
28.7% | Sion
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.Sion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luzern that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sion than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luzern - Sion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.06) |
4.29 ↑
(3.6) |
9.14 ↑
(3.39) |
-17.8%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luzern - Sion?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sion will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luzern (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 4.
- Luzern is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sion's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Luzern has had a series of away games.
- Luzern might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Von Moos J.
(Injury)
Zimmermann M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sion: Shala A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Sion?
Luzern has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sion won against Luzern?
Sion has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Sion were as follows:
23.02.2025
Luzern
-
Sion
2:1
10.11.2024
Sion
-
Luzern
4:2
03.08.2024
Luzern
-
Sion
1:0
22.03.2024
Luzern
-
Sion
2:1
25.05.2023
Sion
-
Luzern
1:2
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Basel | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 5 | Zurich | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Luzern | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Lugano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Lausanne | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Servette | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10:25 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
