Result
30:25
22/02/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (11 - 19)
- 6', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
- 13', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
- 14', Botitu V. (Try),
- 19', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 22', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Saginadze B. (Try),
- 27', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 6)
- 44', Baget R. (Try),
- 45', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 52', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 67', Niniashvili D. (Penalty Goal),
- 72', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 80+1', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Castres
65.4% | Draw
4.3% | Lyon
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castres than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Castres - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.32) |
21.33 ↑
(21) |
3.02 ↓
(3.49) |
8.8%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 48.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Castres - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:21.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Castres won 2.
- Castres in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lyon is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Castres is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Castres to win the game is with odds 1.41.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Castres won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 423:406 (average 23.5:22.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Castres won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 232:169 (average 25.8:18.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Lyon?
Castres has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Castres?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - Lyon were as follows:
28.09.2024
Lyon
-
Castres
40:38
09.03.2024
Lyon
-
Castres
34:19
02.12.2023
Castres
-
Lyon
29:14
04.03.2023
Castres
-
Lyon
27:22
05.11.2022
Lyon
-
Castres
26:20
Latest results of Castres
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
