Lyon vs PAOK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
4:2
29/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.360.65
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
83
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
32
Passes
91% (503/553)81% (272/336)
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.360.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.700.67
Total shots
195
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
91
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
133
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1215
Passes
91% (503/553)81% (272/336)
Long passes
68% (23/34)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
82% (103/126)67% (42/63)
Crosses
21% (3/14)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.35
Throw ins
1014
Fouls
1512
Tackles
58% (11/19)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4043
Clearances
913
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.672.70
Goals prevented
-1.33-1.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Himbert R. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
  • 36', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
  • 41', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Morton T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Morton T. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Merah K. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
  • 66', 2 - 2, Meite S. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
  • 69', Merah K. ↓, Goncalves T. ↑,
  • 69', Kluivert R. ↓, Abner Vinicius ↑,
  • 77', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
  • 83', Lucescu R. 🟥,
  • 83', Karabec A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', Taison ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
  • 87', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Mythou A. ↑,
  • 87', de Carvalho M. ↓, Hamdani A. ↑,
  • 87', Moreira A. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Karabec A. ⚽, Hamdani A. (A),
  • 90+1', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Gomes A. ⚽, Karabec A. (A),

Chances of winning


Lyon
43.2%		Draw
27.1%		PAOK
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 23.3% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 23.1% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.
  • PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Lyon - PAOK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↑
    (1.62)    		 3.58 ↓
    (4.13)    		 3.3 ↓
    (5.57)    		 3.1%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lyon - PAOK?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 25 - 41%). PAOK will win (votes: 30 - 49.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 36.7% – 61.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 10 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - PAOK (1.64) (votes: 7 - 77.8%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH 0 - PAOK (2.13) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - PAOK (2.21) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 10 - 83.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 12 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - PAOK (2.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - PAOK (2.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - PAOK (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 56 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 15 - 26.8%). PAOK (votes: 34 - 60.7%). Tie (votes: 7 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Lyon is Qualified for Europa League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
    • Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lyon has had a series of away games.
    • Lyon could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Endrick (Inactive) Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Hateboer H. (Inactive) Mangala O. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Sulc P. (Knock) Tagliafico N. (Ankle Injury) Tolisso C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Ivanusec L. (Toe Injury) Jeremejeff A. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Zafeiris C. (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lyon
    25.01.2026 Metz - Lyon 2:5 ✺
    22.01.2026 Young Boys - Lyon 0:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 Lyon - Brest 2:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Lille - Lyon 1:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Monaco - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of PAOK
    22.01.2026 PAOK - Betis 2:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 PAOK - OFI 3:0 ✺
    14.01.2026 Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK 0:2 ✺
    10.01.2026 Panetolikos - PAOK 0:3 ✺
    06.01.2026 PAOK - Atromitos Athens 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    4PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    5Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    6Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    7Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    8Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9FC Porto (5)Bye
    10Braga (6)Bye
    11Midtjylland (3)Bye
    12Betis (4)Bye
    13Freiburg (7)Bye
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lyon (1)Bye
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye
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