Result
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Lyon
49.8% | Draw
26.4% | Toulouse
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Lyon - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.82) |
3.65 ↓
(3.76) |
3.98 ↓
(4.21) |
4.5%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lyon - Toulouse?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4.
- Lyon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Toulouse is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lyon is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Descamps R.
(Wrist Injury)
Mangala O.
(Knee Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Messali R.
(Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lyon: Abner Vinicius
(Groin Injury)
Ghezzal R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:17. (average 2.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:3. (average 2.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Toulouse?
Lyon has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lyon?
Toulouse has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Toulouse were as follows:
18.01.2025
Lyon
-
Toulouse
0:0
29.09.2024
Toulouse
-
Lyon
1:2
15.03.2024
Toulouse
-
Lyon
2:3
10.12.2023
Lyon
-
Toulouse
3:0
14.04.2023
Toulouse
-
Lyon
1:2
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
