Result
4:2
03/05/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, Sky Sport MIX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Tubi TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/399) | 84% (346/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.30 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (333/399) | 84% (346/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 38% (14/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (88/129) | 63% (53/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 4.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Tamari M. ⚽, Lepaul E. (A),
- 23', Lepaul E. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Yaremchuk R. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
- 40', Samba B. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Tolisso C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
- 52', 3 - 2, Moreira A. ⚽, Abner Vinicius (A),
- 70', Yaremchuk R. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
- 70', Szymanski S. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 71', Seidu A. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
- 75', 4 - 2, Endrick ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
- 83', Merlin Q. 🟨,
- 84', Morton T. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
- 84', Merah K. ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
- 84', Endrick ↓, Nuamah E. ↑,
- 87', Lepaul E. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
- 87', Tamari M. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
- 87', Camara M. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
- 90+3', Abner Vinicius ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lyon
44.5% | Draw
25.8% | Rennes
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Lyon - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.32) |
3.71 ↑
(3.53) |
3.22 ↑
(2.87) |
4.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyon - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 22 - 56.4%). Rennes will win (votes: 9 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 40.8% – 72%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Rennes (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.
- Lyon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rennes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lyon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lyon: Mangala O.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P.
(Injury)
Jacquet J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rosier L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Himbert R.
(Ankle Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Nordin A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Rennes?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lyon?
Rennes has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Rennes were as follows:
14.09.2025
Rennes
-
Lyon
3:1
26.04.2025
Lyon
-
Rennes
4:1
18.08.2024
Rennes
-
Lyon
3:0
26.01.2024
Lyon
-
Rennes
2:3
12.11.2023
Rennes
-
Lyon
0:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
