Result
19:41
20/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 17)
- 5', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
- 10', Verge C. (Try),
- 10', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Chat C. (Try),
- 20', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Cretin D. 🟨,
- 38', Graou P. (Try),
- 38', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 24)
- 46', Moukoro T. (Try),
- 46', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
- 55', Brennan J. (Try),
- 55', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Roumat A. (Try),
- 73', Costes P. (Try),
- 73', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', Vigneres L. (Try),
Chances of winning
Lyon
34.8% | Draw
4.5% | Toulouse
60.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Lyon - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.64) |
20.6 ↑
(18.48) |
1.53 ↓
(1.58) |
7.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Lyon - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:29.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
- Lyon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toulouse is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 413:508. (average 20.7:25.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 227:177. (average 22.7:17.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Toulouse?
Lyon has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Lyon?
Toulouse has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Toulouse were as follows:
01.06.2025
Toulouse
-
Lyon
43:3
22.12.2024
Lyon
-
Toulouse
17:17
08.06.2024
Lyon
-
Toulouse
40:28
06.01.2024
Toulouse
-
Lyon
45:0
16.04.2023
Toulouse
-
Lyon
36:31
Latest results of Toulouse
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
