Result
04/02/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Troyes
18.8% | Draw
22.8% | Lyon
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Troyes - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.09 ↑
(3.98) |
4.17 ↑
(4.12) |
1.64 ↓
(1.8) |
4.8%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(45 of 55 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.63% – 92.01%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Lyon?
Troyes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Troyes?
Lyon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Lyon were as follows:
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
