Result
1:1
05/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 17
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (246/333) | 82% (347/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (246/333) | 82% (347/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (45/82) | 69% (91/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Brook L. ⚽, Sakai H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bosnjak D. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
- 50', De Vries F. 🟨,
- 53', Randall J. 🟨,
- 60', Vickery L. ↓, Oliveira B. ↑,
- 64', Francois M. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
- 64', Brook L. ↓, Cosgrove S. ↑,
- 64', Rogerson L. ↓, May G. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Uskok T. ⚽, Rose L. (A),
- 77', Scott W. 🟨,
- 77', Grzan S. ↓, Duran R. ↑,
- 77', Popovic K. ↓, Jurman M. ↑,
- 78', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
- 81', Sawyer H. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
- 85', Randall J. ↓, Gillion L. ↑,
- 87', Uskok T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC
26.9% | Draw
24.8% | Auckland FC
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Macarthur FC - Auckland FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.47 ↓
(3.59) |
3.77 ↑
(3.7) |
1.96
(1.96) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Auckland FC?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Auckland will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 19.5% – 53.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 1 - 20%). Auckland (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Macarthur (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Auckland (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Macarthur is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Auckland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Macarthur has had a series of away games.
- Auckland could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won
(Ankle Injury)
Krslovic S.
(Injury)
Politidis H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Macarthur: Caceres A.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Macarthur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Auckland FC?
Macarthur FC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Macarthur FC?
Auckland FC has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Auckland FC were as follows:
31.01.2025
Auckland FC
-
Macarthur FC
2:1
24.11.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Auckland FC
0:1
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Latest results of Auckland FC
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
