Result
1:2
25/04/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 28
- Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (269/355) | 76% (278/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (269/355) | 76% (278/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (14/42) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (93/138) | 74% (109/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Teague R. ⚽, Machach Z. (A),
- 15', Arzani D. 🟨,
- 32', Bos K. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 2, Bos K. ⚽, Velupillay N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Vujica I. ↓, Jurman M. ↑,
- 46', Deli F. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
- 54', Adamson K. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 56', Brattan L. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 2, Ikonomidis C. ⚽, Jakolis M. (A),
- 74', Jackson L. 🟨,
- 76', Velupillay N. ↓, Badolato A. ↑,
- 76', Valadon J. ↓, Monge F. ↑,
- 78', Ikonomidis C. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
- 83', Arzani D. ↓, Hamill B. ↑,
- 83', Inserra J. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
- 86', Machach Z. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
- 90+5', Duncan J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC
33.8% | Draw
23.9% | Melbourne Victory
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(2.88) |
3.96 ↑
(3.95) |
2.24 ↑
(2.19) |
5.4%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Melbourne Victory could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Macarthur have a series of guest games.
- Melbourne Victory will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Macarthur: Popovic K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Clarismario
(Injury)
Piscopo R.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Macarthur won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Macarthur won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Melbourne Victory?
Macarthur FC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Macarthur FC?
Melbourne Victory has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
03.11.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Macarthur FC
2:1
29.09.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Macarthur FC
0:1
10.02.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Macarthur FC
0:1
24.11.2023
Macarthur FC
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
23.04.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Macarthur FC
2:1
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
