Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
05/12/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.37
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
129
Passes
74% (284/382)80% (355/444)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.08
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
510
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
129
Touches in opposition box
3133
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
155
Passes
74% (284/382)80% (355/444)
Long passes
36% (21/58)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
72% (81/113)69% (134/194)
Crosses
37% (10/27)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.031.32
Throw-ins
2234
Fouls
515
Tackles
57% (12/21)63% (17/27)
Duels won
7278
Clearances
3836
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.080.78
Goals prevented
-0.920.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Inserra J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bosnjak D. , Oliveira B. ,
  • 46', Brattan L. , Ji Dong-Won ,
  • 55', Ji Dong-Won 🟨,
  • 56', Duran R. , Sawyer H. ,
  • 56', Jelacic K. , Velupillay N. ,
  • 56', Inserra J. , Rawlins J. ,
  • 66', Rose L. , Deli F. ,
  • 70', Grzan S. 🟨,
  • 71', Mata J. , Grimaldi M. ,
  • 79', Reec J. , Vergos N. ,
  • 79', D'Arrigo L. , Dragicevic O. ,
  • 79', Jurman M. , Popovic K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Macarthur FC
36.7%
Draw
26.1%
Melbourne Victory
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 26.2% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 25.4% 36%

Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.57
(2.52)
3.62
(3.53)
2.54
(2.49)
5.8%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Macarthur: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 2.
    • In recent matches, Macarthur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melbourne Victory is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Macarthur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Macarthur: Da Silva D. (Inactive) Ikonomidis C. (Injury) Oliveira H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Genreau D. (Red Card) Hamill B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Melbourne Victory: Inserra J. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory 1:2
    03.11.2024 Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC 2:1
    29.09.2024 Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC 0:1
    10.02.2024 Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC 0:1
    24.11.2023 Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory 1:1
    Latest results of Macarthur FC
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sydney FC750214:5915
    2Brisbane Roar74218:3514
    3Auckland FC742110:6414
    4Melbourne City73319:5412
    5Perth Glory73137:10-310
    6Adelaide United730411:929
    7Wellington Phoenix72239:11-28
    8Central Coast Mariners72238:10-28
    9WS Wanderers72236:8-28
    10Macarthur FC72234:7-38
    11Newcastle Jets720511:16-56
    12Melbourne Victory71244:11-75

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