Result
4:1
15/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 21
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (365/444) | 82% (364/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (365/444) | 82% (364/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 58% (29/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (123/169) | 72% (80/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 35% (6/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Talbot C. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Da Silva D. (Own goal),
- 19', Rose L. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Genreau D. ⚽, Nduka C. (A),
- 36', Roderick 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Vickery L. ⚽, Duran R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Scott W. 🟨,
- 63', 3 - 1, Esposito S. ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 64', Duran R. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
- 64', Duke M. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 65', Velupillay N. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
- 65', Jelacic K. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 66', 4 - 1, Nduka C. ⚽,
- 73', Valadon J. 🟨,
- 74', Vickery L. ↓, Oliveira H. ↑,
- 74', Brattan L. ↓, Deli F. ↑,
- 74', Scott W. ↓, McKay W. ↑,
- 79', Mata J. ↓, Stella X. ↑,
- 79', Lino F. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 88', Genreau D. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
47.7% | Draw
24.8% | Macarthur FC
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.84) |
3.83 ↑
(3.7) |
3.45 ↓
(3.73) |
5.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Macarthur will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
- Melbourne Victory is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Macarthur is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: D'Arrigo L.
(Leg Injury)
Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won
(Ankle Injury)
Oliveira B.
(Injury)
Politidis H.
(Inactive)
Robinson A.
(Red Card)
Uskok T.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Melbourne Victory: Roderick
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Macarthur FC?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Melbourne Victory?
Macarthur FC has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC were as follows:
05.12.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Melbourne Victory
0:0
25.04.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
03.11.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Macarthur FC
2:1
29.09.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Macarthur FC
0:1
10.02.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Macarthur FC
0:1
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28:36 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29:32 | -3 | 27 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 33:41 | -8 | 27 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
