Result
0:3
10/01/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 12
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (344/402) | 88% (444/506) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (344/402) | 88% (444/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (14/34) | 31% (10/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (77/100) | 72% (91/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Quispe Cordova P. A. ⚽, Grant R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Tisserand M. ↓, Popovic A. ↑,
- 46', McKay W. ↓, Scott W. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 2, Campuzano V. ⚽, Garuccio B. (A),
- 56', Grzan S. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
- 56', Duran R. ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
- 60', Youlley R. 🟨,
- 62', 0 - 3, Wood P. ⚽,
- 67', Youlley R. ↓, Hollman C. ↑,
- 68', Popovic K. ↓, Randazzo O. ↑,
- 74', Quintal T. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
- 74', Wood P. ↓, Akon A. ↑,
- 75', Brattan L. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Macarthur FC
32.7% | Draw
26.2% | Sydney
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macarthur FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Macarthur FC - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↓
(2.89) |
3.58 ↑
(3.55) |
2.29 ↑
(2.19) |
6.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Macarthur FC - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Macarthur will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Sydney will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Macarthur (votes: 3 - 25%). Sydney (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 2.
- Macarthur is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sydney has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sydney has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Macarthur: Krslovic S.
(Injury)
Uskok T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G.
(Inactive)
Lolley J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won
(Ankle Injury)
Politidis H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Macarthur won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macarthur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Macarthur FC won against Sydney?
Macarthur FC has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Macarthur FC?
Sydney has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Macarthur FC - Sydney were as follows:
08.11.2025
Sydney
-
Macarthur FC
2:0
01.03.2025
Macarthur FC
-
Sydney
0:2
10.11.2024
Sydney
-
Macarthur FC
1:2
04.05.2024
Sydney
-
Macarthur FC
4:0
20.04.2024
Macarthur FC
-
Sydney
1:0
Latest results of Macarthur FC
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
