Macau Black Bears vs Blackwater Bossing – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
123:119
28/04/2026 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Commissioner's Cup

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Macau Black Bears
58.1%
Blackwater Bossing
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Macau Black Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Blackwater Bossing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macau Black Bears than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackwater Bossing than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Macau Black Bears - Blackwater Bossing Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.57)

    2.24
    (2.28)
    6.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 221.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Macau Black Bears - Blackwater Bossing?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Macau Black Bears (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 114:109.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Blackwater Bossing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Macau Black Bears will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Macau Black Bears
    Philippines - Commissioners Cup Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Rain or Shine Elasto Painters9811022:9240.889
    2NLEX Road Warriors972930:8850.778
    3Barangay Ginebra San Miguel972949:8920.778
    4TNT Tropang 5G963944:8950.667
    5Meralco Bolts853840:8110.625
    6Phoenix Fuelmasters954942:9220.556
    7San Miguel Beermen10551036:10600.500
    8Magnolia Hotshots945897:8660.444
    9Converge FiberXers10461017:10190.400
    10Terrafirma Dyip936891:9190.333
    11Titan Ultra Giant Risers927872:9870.222
    12Macau Black Bears10281060:11250.200
    13Blackwater Bossing10281014:11090.200

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