Phoenix Fuel Masters vs Blackwater Bossing – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
125:108
17/04/2026 at 05:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Commissioner's Cup

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Fuel Masters
79.5%
Blackwater Bossing
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Fuel Masters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Fuel Masters's performance.
  • Blackwater Bossing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blackwater Bossing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Fuel Masters than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Fuel Masters that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackwater Bossing than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blackwater Bossing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.41)

    4.52
    (2.7)
    8%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 199.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    What is the prediction for Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 98.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 49.5, 1Q - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 106:95.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Fuel Masters won 3.
    • Recent performances by Phoenix Fuel Masters have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Blackwater Bossing is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Phoenix Fuel Masters may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Phoenix Fuel Masters is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Fuel Masters won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2054:2012. (average 102.7:100.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Fuel Masters won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1181:1136. (average 107.4:103.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Blackwater Bossing - Phoenix Fuel Masters 98:106
    13.06.2025 Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing 124:109
    21.01.2025 Blackwater Bossing - Phoenix Fuel Masters 100:92
    15.09.2024 Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing 119:114
    03.09.2024 Blackwater Bossing - Phoenix Fuel Masters 123:111
    Philippines - Commissioners Cup Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Rain or Shine Elasto Painters9811022:9240.889
    2NLEX Road Warriors972930:8850.778
    3Barangay Ginebra San Miguel972949:8920.778
    4TNT Tropang 5G963944:8950.667
    5Meralco Bolts853840:8110.625
    6Phoenix Fuelmasters954942:9220.556
    7San Miguel Beermen10551036:10600.500
    8Magnolia Hotshots945897:8660.444
    9Converge FiberXers10461017:10190.400
    10Terrafirma Dyip936891:9190.333
    11Titan Ultra Giant Risers927872:9870.222
    12Macau Black Bears10281060:11250.200
    13Blackwater Bossing10281014:11090.200

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