Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka).

J1 League - Round 13
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	1.75
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
5	16
Shots on target
1	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
85% (515/606)	76% (238/315)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	1.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	2.07
Total shots
5	16
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
2	9
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
2	10
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
12	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
14	7
Passes
85% (515/606)	76% (238/315)
Long passes
43% (21/49)	52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
74% (128/173)	66% (92/139)
Crosses
0% (0/15)	48% (10/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	1.83
Throw-ins
21	19
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
69% (9/13)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
45	40
Clearances
16	20
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
2.07	0.73
Goals prevented
0.05	-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Mae H. 🟨,
26', Fujio S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fujio S. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
46', Duke M. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
46', Mochizuki H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
52', Kagawa S. 🟨,
54', Noborizato K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
54', Sakata R. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
66', Shibayama M. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
66', Nakajima M. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
72', Shindo R. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
72', Shimoda H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Dresevic I. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
87', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
90+2', Dresevic I. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Thiago Andrade ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cerezo Osaka
34.2%

Draw
29.9%

Machida Zelvia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.6%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.48)	3.17 ↓ (3.26)	2.66 ↓ (2.83)	6.1% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 0.
Recent matches Cerezo Osaka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Machida Zelvia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cerezo Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Machida Zelvia?

Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Cerezo Osaka?

Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

07.08.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:0

09.06.2024 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 2:2

05.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:3

15.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 2:1

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

25.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Imabari - Cerezo Osaka 3:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

25.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Vissel Kobe - Machida Zelvia 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	24	10	8	6	32:24	8	38
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	24	8	8	8	21:23	-2	32
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

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      Relegation ~ J2 League