Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Machida GION Stadium (Machida).

J1 League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.42
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
76% (243/318)	87% (544/623)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.86	0.67
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
17	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
8	14
Passes
76% (243/318)	87% (544/623)
Long passes
52% (33/64)	48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
63% (66/104)	79% (159/201)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.79	1.84
Throw-ins
21	19
Fouls
14	8
Tackles
75% (15/20)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
52	39
Clearances
22	22
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.67	1.86
Goals prevented
0.67	-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Na Sang-Ho ⚽, Mochizuki H. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Hayashi K. ⚽, Shoji G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
46', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
63', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
63', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
64', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
64', Cools D. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
66', Tanaka S. 🟨,
76', Soma Y. 🟨,
79', 3 - 0, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
82', Hayashi K. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
82', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
85', Fernandes L. 🟨,
87', Fernandes L. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
87', Mae H. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Machida Zelvia
51.3%

Draw
25.8%

Cerezo Osaka
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

22.5%

24%

Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	3.78 ↓ (3.85)	4.36 ↑ (3.61)	2.7% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
Machida Zelvia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Cerezo Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
Machida Zelvia could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury) Nishimura T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Takahashi N. (Foot Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Cerezo Osaka?

Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Machida Zelvia?

Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:

29.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:2

07.08.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:0

09.06.2024 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 2:2

05.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:3

15.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 2:1

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

10.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe 2:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga 1:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kataller Toyama 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

11.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 3:3 ✺

16.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokushima Vortis 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

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