Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka
Result
3:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.42
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
76% (243/318)87% (544/623)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.67
Total shots
119
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1718
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
814
Passes
76% (243/318)87% (544/623)
Long passes
52% (33/64)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
63% (66/104)79% (159/201)
Crosses
25% (4/16)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.791.84
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
148
Tackles
75% (15/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5239
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.671.86
Goals prevented
0.67-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Na Sang-Ho , Mochizuki H. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 0, Hayashi K. , Shoji G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kida H. , Yoshino K. ,
  • 46', Nakajima M. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 63', Fujio S. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 63', Na Sang-Ho , Sento K. ,
  • 64', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 64', Cools D. , Ohata A. ,
  • 66', Tanaka S. 🟨,
  • 76', Soma Y. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Oh Se-Hun , Soma Y. (A),
  • 82', Hayashi K. , Lavi N. ,
  • 82', Soma Y. , Numata T. ,
  • 85', Fernandes L. 🟨,
  • 87', Fernandes L. , Sakata R. ,
  • 87', Mae H. , Shimoda H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
51.3%
Draw
25.8%
Cerezo Osaka
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 24% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 22.5% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.83)
    3.78
    (3.85)
    4.36
    (3.61)
    2.7%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
    • Machida Zelvia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cerezo Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
    • Machida Zelvia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury) Nishimura T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Takahashi N. (Foot Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:2
    07.08.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:0
    09.06.2024 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 2:2
    05.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:3
    15.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

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