Result
3:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 0.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
76% (243/318) | 87% (544/623) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 0.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.86 | 0.67 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
76% (243/318) | 87% (544/623) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (33/64) | 48% (20/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (66/104) | 79% (159/201) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 1.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (15/20) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.67 | 1.86 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.67 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Na Sang-Ho ⚽, Mochizuki H. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Hayashi K. ⚽, Shoji G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 46', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 63', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 63', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 64', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 64', Cools D. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
- 66', Tanaka S. 🟨,
- 76', Soma Y. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 0, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 82', Hayashi K. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 82', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 85', Fernandes L. 🟨,
- 87', Fernandes L. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 87', Mae H. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia 51.3% | Draw 25.8% | Cerezo Osaka 22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↑ (1.83) |
3.78 ↓ (3.85) |
4.36 ↑ (3.61) |
2.7% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
- Machida Zelvia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
- Machida Zelvia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
Nishimura T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Cerezo Osaka?
Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Machida Zelvia?
Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
29.04.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
1:2
07.08.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
0:0
09.06.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:2
05.06.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
15.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
2 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
6 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League