Result
3:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (243/318) | 87% (544/623) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (243/318) | 87% (544/623) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/104) | 79% (159/201) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Na Sang-Ho ⚽, Mochizuki H. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Hayashi K. ⚽, Shoji G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 46', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 63', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 63', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 64', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 64', Cools D. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
- 66', Tanaka S. 🟨,
- 76', Soma Y. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 0, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 82', Hayashi K. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 82', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 85', Fernandes L. 🟨,
- 87', Fernandes L. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 87', Mae H. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
51.3% | Draw
25.8% | Cerezo Osaka
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.83) |
3.78 ↓
(3.85) |
4.36 ↑
(3.61) |
2.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Machida Zelvia (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 25%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
- Machida Zelvia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
- Machida Zelvia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
Nishimura T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Cerezo Osaka?
Machida Zelvia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Machida Zelvia?
Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
29.04.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
1:2
07.08.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
0:0
09.06.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:2
05.06.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
15.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
