Result
3:2 penalties
21/02/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/448) | 78% (329/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/448) | 78% (329/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 48% (36/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (46/74) | 59% (68/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Arai Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Hayashi N. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
- 67', Yengi T. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 1, Soma Y. ⚽,
- 74', Erik 🟨,
- 77', Uchida Y. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
- 77', Saito K. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
- 79', Erik ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Nakayama Y. ⚽, Nakamura H. (A),
- 86', Miyahara K. ↓, Yoshida T. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Yamami H. ⚽, Hirakawa R. (A),
- 90+2', Soma Y. ↓, Tokumura F. ↑,
- 90+3', Shirasaki R. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
- 90+3', Lavi N. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Yoshida T. ⚽, Arai Y. (A),
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Nakayama Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Someno I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Shimoda H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Yamami H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Dresevic I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Shirai R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kuwayama K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Arai Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Nishimura T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Morita K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy
25.3% | Draw
32.5% | Machida Zelvia
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↓
(3.9) |
2.92 ↓
(3.21) |
2.22 ↑
(2.04) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 19% – 81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Machida Zelvia (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
- Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Machida Zelvia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Mochizuki H.
(Injury)
Vasquez B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Machida Zelvia?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Tokyo Verdy?
Machida Zelvia has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
20.07.2025
Tokyo Verdy
-
Machida Zelvia
0:1
26.02.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Tokyo Verdy
0:1
14.07.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Machida Zelvia
0:1
19.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Tokyo Verdy
5:0
09.07.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:2
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
