Machida Zelvia vs Melbourne City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena 2, Astro Go
pakistanPakistanTapmad
russiaRussiaTV Start
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.03
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
77% (371/479)77% (327/427)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.02
Total shots
209
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
168
Passes
77% (371/479)77% (327/427)
Long passes
59% (51/87)41% (32/79)
Passes in final third
65% (110/170)58% (62/106)
Crosses
34% (10/29)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.22
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
816
Tackles
76% (13/17)64% (7/11)
Duels won
7028
Clearances
1940
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.021.37
Goals prevented
0.020.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Shoji G. (Own goal),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Mochizuki H. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Baker B. , Kanamori T. ,
  • 55', Nakayama Y. 🟨,
  • 70', Caputo M. , Nabbout A. ,
  • 77', Mochizuki H. , Hayashi K. ,
  • 79', Shillington H. , Antoniou P. ,
  • 79', Durakovic E. , Mazzeo B. ,
  • 82', Oh Se-Hun , Fujio S. ,
  • 88', Kuen A. , Kutleshi B. ,
  • 90', Shimoda H. , Sento K. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Nabbout A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/39b3phas

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
67.1%
Draw
19.3%
Melbourne City
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 19% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 19.9% 14.7%

Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.4
(1.41)
4.86
(4.86)
6.89
(5.99)
6.7%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 67.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Melbourne City (2.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 641112:6613
    2Machida ✔ 632110:5511
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 63216:3311
    4Melbourne City ✔ 63127:6110
    5Seoul62318:539
    6Johor DT62226:518
    7Buriram62227:8-18
    8Ulsan HD62225:6-18
    9Gangwon62139:11-27
    10Chengdu Rongcheng61325:7-26
    11Shanghai Shenhua61145:9-44
    12Shanghai Port60242:11-92


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 660015:51018
    2Tractor ✔ 642010:2814
    3Al Ahli SC641117:61113
    4Al Wahda ✔ 641110:5513
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai631211:10110
    6Al Ittihad630311:839
    7Al-Duhail621313:1217
    8Al Sharjah62136:13-77
    9Al-Gharafa62047:12-56
    10Al-Sadd61239:12-35
    11Al Shorta60152:17-151
    12Nasaf Qarshi60066:15-90

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)