Result
1:2
04/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (371/479) | 77% (327/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (371/479) | 77% (327/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (51/87) | 41% (32/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (110/170) | 58% (62/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Shoji G. (Own goal),
- 24', 1 - 1, Mochizuki H. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Baker B. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
- 55', Nakayama Y. 🟨,
- 70', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
- 77', Mochizuki H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
- 79', Shillington H. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
- 79', Durakovic E. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
- 82', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 88', Kuen A. ↓, Kutleshi B. ↑,
- 90', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Nabbout A. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/39b3phas
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
67.1% | Draw
19.3% | Melbourne City
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.41) |
4.86
(4.86) |
6.89 ↑
(5.99) |
6.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 67.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Melbourne City (2.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is the obvious favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Melbourne City?
Machida Zelvia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Machida Zelvia?
Melbourne City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City were as follows:
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Melbourne City
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Machida | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
