Result
2:3
18/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 25
- Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (332/422) | 77% (262/340) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 3.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (332/422) | 77% (262/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 40% (20/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (62/110) | 64% (55/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.36 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Vidic J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 61', 1 - 1, Younis M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Shillington H. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
- 62', Nabbout A. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Younis M. ⚽,
- 70', McGarry J. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
- 70', Vrakas G. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
- 75', Lauton J. ↓, O'Shea J. ↑,
- 76', Schreiber Z. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
- 76', Rahmani K. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Memeti M. ⚽, Rashani E. (A),
- 81', Younis M. ↓, Caputo M. ↑,
- 82', Lode M. ↓, Thom N. ↑,
- 85', Kuen A. 🟨,
- 89', Memeti M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Salas Y. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
26.8% | Draw
26.5% | Melbourne City
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↓
(4.25) |
3.56 ↓
(3.74) |
2.03 ↑
(1.78) |
5.5%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0.
- Recent performances by Brisbane have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Melbourne City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.
- Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Bility H.
(Inactive)
D'Agostino N.
(Knee Injury)
Long Ch.
(Ankle Injury)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Lopane A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Melbourne City?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne City has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City were as follows:
06.01.2026
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
1:0
31.10.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
0:0
11.04.2025
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
3:2
11.01.2025
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
1:0
06.12.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
1:4
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Melbourne City
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
