Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima).

J1 League - Round 33
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.48
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
10	1
Passes
76% (369/485)	59% (138/232)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55	0.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.11	0.46
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
27	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
76% (369/485)	59% (138/232)
Long passes
34% (22/64)	32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
62% (107/172)	49% (45/92)
Crosses
27% (9/33)	0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	0.37
Throw-ins
28	14
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
90% (9/10)	50% (4/8)
Duels won
58	48
Clearances
20	39
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.46	2.11
Goals prevented
-0.54	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Kinoshita K. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
29', Nishimura T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Soma Y. ⚽, Mae H. (A),
61', Nakano S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
62', Shiotani T. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
62', Higashi S. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
65', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
65', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
76', Nakajima Y. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
81', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
81', Masuyama A. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Kim Ju-Sung ⚽, Suga D. (A),
89', Kim Ju-Sung 🟨,
89', Shimoda H. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Arslan T. (Pen),
90+5', Arslan T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
43.9%

Draw
29.3%

Machida Zelvia
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.23)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	6% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 16.1% – 74.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).
Hiroshima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Machida Zelvia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Nakajima Y. (International duty)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury) Okamura D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Hiroshima: Marcos Junior (Injury) Suga D. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Machida Zelvia?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Machida Zelvia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

16.02.2025 Machida Zelvia - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2

30.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia 2:0

03.04.2024 Machida Zelvia - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

30.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Melbourne City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

30.09.2025 Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia 1:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul 1:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	35	17	8	10	39:26	13	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	35	15	11	9	65:50	15	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	35	13	10	12	54:50	4	49
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
13	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
14	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	35	10	7	18	39:44	-5	37
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare ✔	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata ✔	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League