Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.48
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
76% (369/485)59% (138/232)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.110.46
Total shots
158
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
157
Passes
76% (369/485)59% (138/232)
Long passes
34% (22/64)32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
62% (107/172)49% (45/92)
Crosses
27% (9/33)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.37
Throw-ins
2814
Fouls
715
Tackles
90% (9/10)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5848
Clearances
2039
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.462.11
Goals prevented
-0.540.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Kinoshita K. , Germain V. ,
  • 29', Nishimura T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Soma Y. , Mae H. (A),
  • 61', Nakano S. , Arai N. ,
  • 62', Shiotani T. , Arslan T. ,
  • 62', Higashi S. , Suga D. ,
  • 65', Fujio S. , Duke M. ,
  • 65', Nishimura T. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 76', Nakajima Y. , Kato M. ,
  • 81', Soma Y. , Sento K. ,
  • 81', Masuyama A. , Hayashi K. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Kim Ju-Sung , Suga D. (A),
  • 89', Kim Ju-Sung 🟨,
  • 89', Shimoda H. , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Arslan T. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Arslan T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
43.9%
Draw
29.3%
Machida Zelvia
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 29.6% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 29.5% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.23)
    3.22
    (3.2)
    3.5
    (3.4)
    6%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).
    • Hiroshima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Machida Zelvia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Nakajima Y. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury) Okamura D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hiroshima: Marcos Junior (Injury) Suga D. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Machida Zelvia - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    30.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia 2:0
    03.04.2024 Machida Zelvia - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    13Verdy351191522:36-1442
    14Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 344102030:56-2622

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League