Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (369/485) | 59% (138/232) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (369/485) | 59% (138/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (22/64) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (107/172) | 49% (45/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Kinoshita K. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 29', Nishimura T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Soma Y. ⚽, Mae H. (A),
- 61', Nakano S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
- 62', Shiotani T. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
- 62', Higashi S. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
- 65', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 65', Nishimura T. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 76', Nakajima Y. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 81', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 81', Masuyama A. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Kim Ju-Sung ⚽, Suga D. (A),
- 89', Kim Ju-Sung 🟨,
- 89', Shimoda H. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Arslan T. (Pen),
- 90+5', Arslan T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
43.9% | Draw
29.3% | Machida Zelvia
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.23) |
3.22 ↑
(3.2) |
3.5 ↑
(3.4) |
6%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Machida Zelvia (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 20%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).
- Hiroshima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Machida Zelvia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Nakajima Y.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
Okamura D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hiroshima: Marcos Junior
(Injury)
Suga D.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Machida Zelvia?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Machida Zelvia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
16.02.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
30.09.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Machida Zelvia
2:0
03.04.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
