Result
3:2 penalties
29/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (278/362) | 81% (381/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (278/362) | 81% (381/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/59) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (124/176) | 80% (126/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -1.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Nakano S. ⚽,
- 10', 0 - 2, Higashi S. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
- 18', Nakajima Y. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 2, Usui S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Shiotani T. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
- 46', Nakajima Y. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
- 46', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
- 46', Tashiro M. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
- 59', Kato M. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 59', Kinoshita K. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
- 63', Kamijima T. 🟨,
- 64', Shigemi M. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Miki T. ⚽, Maejima Y. (A),
- 75', Higashi S. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
- 80', Nago S. 🟥,
- 85', Germain R. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
- 85', Maejima Y. ↓, Miya D. ↑,
- 85', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
- 88', Tsujioka Y. 🟨,
- 90+4', Miki T. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 90+6', Ohara M. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Arslan T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Maeda N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kitajima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Suzuki A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Oka T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Ohara M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Miya D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Yamasaki T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Kamijima T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Arai N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
18.8% | Draw
26.1% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.94 ↑
(4.64) |
3.6 ↑
(3.49) |
1.72 ↓
(1.75) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Hiroshima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Kim Ju-Sung
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
05.04.2026
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
27.09.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
08.06.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
04.06.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
03.05.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
