Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (206/282) | 84% (423/502) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (206/282) | 84% (423/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (64/111) | 66% (78/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Kikuchi R. ⚽,
- 29', Mochizuki H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kikuchi R. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
- 60', Yajima S. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
- 69', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 69', Inui T. ↓, Douglas Tanque ↑,
- 69', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Soma Y. (Pen),
- 79', Capixaba ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
- 79', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 85', Nishimura T. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 85', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 90', Shimoda H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Numata T. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
53% | Draw
25.5% | Shimizu S-Pulse
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.96) |
3.66 ↑
(3.43) |
4.32 ↑
(4.11) |
6.4%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.1% – 94.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Shimizu (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Shimizu (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Machida Zelvia (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Machida Zelvia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Shimizu (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).
- Machida Zelvia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kurokawa A.
(Inactive)
Narasaka T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Matheus Bueno
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Machida Zelvia?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
11.05.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Machida Zelvia
2:2
19.08.2023
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Machida Zelvia
3:2
21.05.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
2:1
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Verdy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Machida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Mito | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 9 | Okayama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
