Machida Zelvia vs Shimizu S-Pulse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.13
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
73% (206/282)84% (423/502)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.310.15
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2518
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
614
Passes
73% (206/282)84% (423/502)
Long passes
32% (21/65)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)66% (78/118)
Crosses
27% (4/15)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.09
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
146
Tackles
67% (12/18)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
143
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.152.31
Goals prevented
0.15-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Kikuchi R. ,
  • 29', Mochizuki H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kikuchi R. , Dresevic I. ,
  • 60', Yajima S. , Shimamoto Y. ,
  • 69', Fujio S. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 69', Inui T. , Douglas Tanque ,
  • 69', Kitagawa K. , Chiba K. ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Soma Y. (Pen),
  • 79', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 79', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 85', Nishimura T. , Numata T. ,
  • 85', Soma Y. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 90', Shimoda H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Numata T. , Na Sang-Ho (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
53%
Draw
25.5%
Shimizu S-Pulse
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 27.9% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 28.3% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.96)
    3.66
    (3.43)
    4.32
    (4.11)
    6.4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Machida Zelvia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).
    • Machida Zelvia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kurokawa A. (Inactive) Narasaka T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Matheus Bueno (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia 2:2
    19.08.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia 3:2
    21.05.2023 Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

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