Result
3:0
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.02 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
73% (206/282) | 84% (423/502) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.02 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.31 | 0.15 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
73% (206/282) | 84% (423/502) |
Long passes |
---|
32% (21/65) | 40% (23/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (64/111) | 66% (78/118) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (4/15) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.63 | 1.09 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (12/18) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.15 | 2.31 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.15 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Kikuchi R. ⚽,
- 29', Mochizuki H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kikuchi R. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
- 60', Yajima S. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
- 69', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 69', Inui T. ↓, Douglas Tanque ↑,
- 69', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Soma Y. (Pen),
- 79', Capixaba ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
- 79', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 85', Nishimura T. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
- 85', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 90', Shimoda H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Numata T. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia 53% | Draw 25.5% | Shimizu S-Pulse 21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↓ (1.96) |
3.66 ↑ (3.43) |
4.32 ↑ (4.11) |
6.4% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Machida Zelvia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).
- Machida Zelvia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kurokawa A.
(Inactive)
Narasaka T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Matheus Bueno
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Machida Zelvia?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
11.05.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Machida Zelvia
2:2
19.08.2023
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Machida Zelvia
3:2
21.05.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
2:1
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League