Result
0:2
25/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (405/492) | 81% (378/464) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (405/492) | 81% (378/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 27% (15/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (124/164) | 57% (51/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Kimura Y. ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Stephens A. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 46', Ohata R. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
- 57', Izumi R. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
- 57', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
- 63', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 75', Morishima T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 75', Asano Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
- 76', Kitazume K. ↓, Yuji D. ↑,
- 83', Hara T. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 83', Uno Z. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, Sugiura S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
31.9% | Draw
28.8% | Nagoya Grampus
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.85) |
3.24 ↓
(3.31) |
2.39 ↓
(2.46) |
6.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Nagoya will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Shimizu: Brunetti M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Nagoya Grampus?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
08.02.2026
Nagoya Grampus
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
21.06.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:1
03.05.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:3
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
