Semen Padang vs Madura United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/04/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
32
Shots on target
11
Corner kicks
84
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
32
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
21
Corner kicks
84
Offsides
11
Free kicks
27
Throw ins
2118
Fouls
168

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Junior Brandao , Alesandro F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lulinha , Nufiandani A. ,
  • 46', Giraldo J. , Ariansyah R. ,
  • 46', Augusto A. , Oscario R. ,
  • 54', Guillermo 🟨,
  • 63', Botan K. , Maicon Souza ,
  • 63', Diarra B. , Setiawan R. ,
  • 79', Junior Brandao , Riquelme ,
  • 79', Numberi G. , Sasongko N. ,
  • 80', Juliansyah F. , Agong W. ,
  • 82', Tsouka R. 🟨,
  • 85', Riquelme 🟨,
  • 87', Iran Junior , Emerson Souza ,
  • 90+4', Gufron A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Wehrmann J. , Sitanggang P. ,

Chances of winning


Semen Padang
32.6%
Draw
27.6%
Madura United
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 28.6% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 27.2% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Semen Padang's form might have worsened.
  • Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madura United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Semen Padang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madura United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Semen Padang - Madura United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.18)
    3.33
    (3.18)
    2.31
    (3.08)
    8.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 2.
    • Semen Padang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Madura United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Semen Padang - Madura United were as follows:
    28.12.2025 Madura United - Semen Padang 5:1
    04.05.2025 Semen Padang - Madura United 2:1
    10.12.2024 Madura United - Semen Padang 0:1
    Latest results of Semen Padang
    Latest results of Madura United