Farense vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Farense - Mafra
Result
1:0
19/02/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 21
  • Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
48.9%
Draw
28%
Mafra
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 29.1% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 23.8% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mafra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Farense - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.96)
    3.28
    (3.1)
    4
    (3.64)
    8.6%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Farense - Mafra?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Mafra will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 5.
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Farense will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Farense won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Mafra were as follows:
    29.08.2022 Mafra - Farense 0:3
    Latest results of Farense
    29.01.2023 Torreense - Farense 1:0
    22.01.2023 Tondela - Farense 1:0
    15.01.2023 Farense - Benfica B 5:2
    Latest results of Mafra
    13.02.2023 Mafra - Nacional 3:3
    05.02.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    29.01.2023 Mafra - Oliveirense 2:3
    21.01.2023 Mafra - Trofense 1:0
    13.01.2023 Moreirense - Mafra 4:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela32107:257
    2Leixoes32107:347
    3Sporting CP B32012:116
    4Maritimo32012:116
    5Torreense32015:236
    6Lusitania FC31204:315
    7Oliveirense31202:115
    8Feirense31114:224
    9Leiria31113:304
    10SC Farense31113:4-14
    11Portimonense31114:6-24
    12Chaves30304:403
    13Benfica B30303:303
    14Pacos Ferreira30211:2-12
    15Penafiel30123:5-21
    16Academico Viseu30123:5-21
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B30120:6-61

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