Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Joel 🟨,
- 43', Camara M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Iheanacho S. ⚽, Matos R. (A),
- 58', Nuninho ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
- 58', Feliz ↓, Reko Silva ↑,
- 58', Joel ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 71', Matos R. ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
- 71', Lopes L. ↓, Lobo G. ↑,
- 82', Diagne O. ↓, Daniel J. ↑,
- 83', Neves L. ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 83', Niang M. ↓, Ninte M. ↑,
- 90', Iheanacho S. ↓, So S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mafra 44.8% | Draw 29.1% | Trofense 26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Mafra - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↓ (2.08) |
3.14 ↑ (3.04) |
3.51 ↓ (3.52) |
9.3% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mafra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Trofense?
Mafra has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Mafra?
Trofense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Trofense were as follows:
27.02.2026
Trofense
-
Mafra
1:1
28.05.2023
Trofense
-
Mafra
1:2
21.01.2023
Mafra
-
Trofense
1:0
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Mafra | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Varzim | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )