Mafra vs Leixões – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
46
Free Kicks
2316
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1014
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Werton , Bica (A),
  • 7', 1 - 1, Etim F. , Matos R. (A),
  • 33', Fabinho 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Jaiminho , Werton (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Matos R. , Lucas Gabriel ,
  • 67', Evrard Zag , Seruca A. ,
  • 67', Jaiminho , Ndo R. ,
  • 70', Pata I. , Monteiro V. ,
  • 71', Djabi A. , Fale M. ,
  • 77', Andre , Rafael Martins ,
  • 77', Bica , Simoes A. ,
  • 87', Werton , Paulite ,
  • 90+1', Capitao D. , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 90+1', Goncalves V. , Chriso ,
  • 90+4', Paulite 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mafra
38.3%
Draw
30.2%
Leixões
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 28.2% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 27.2% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leixões might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mafra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mafra - Leixões Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.69)
    3.07
    (3.28)
    2.98
    (2.48)
    7%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mafra - Leixões?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Leixões (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Leixões (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leixões will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Leixões (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mafra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Leixões were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Leixões - Mafra 2:1
    17.03.2024 Leixões - Mafra 1:1
    04.11.2023 Mafra - Leixões 0:1
    14.11.2022 Mafra - Leixões 1:1
    Latest results of Mafra
    30.04.2025 Benfica B - Mafra 5:0
    20.04.2025 Marítimo - Mafra 2:0
    14.04.2025 Mafra - Penafiel 4:2
    31.03.2025 Mafra - Felgueiras 1:0
    Latest results of Leixões
    27.04.2025 Leixões - Penafiel 3:1
    18.04.2025 Felgueiras - Leixões 4:0
    05.04.2025 Marítimo - Leixões 1:1
    30.03.2025 Leixões - Leiria 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3