Mafra vs Leixões – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Mafra - Leixões
Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
46
Free Kicks
2316
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1014
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Werton , Bica (A),
  • 7', 1 - 1, Etim F. , Matos R. (A),
  • 33', Fabinho 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Jaiminho , Werton (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Matos R. , Lucas Gabriel ,
  • 67', Evrard Zag , Seruca A. ,
  • 67', Jaiminho , Ndo R. ,
  • 70', Pata I. , Monteiro V. ,
  • 71', Djabi A. , Fale M. ,
  • 77', Andre , Rafael Martins ,
  • 77', Bica , Simoes A. ,
  • 87', Werton , Paulite ,
  • 90+1', Capitao D. , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 90+1', Goncalves V. , Chriso ,
  • 90+4', Paulite 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mafra
38.3%
Draw
30.2%
Leixões
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 28.2% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 27.2% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leixões might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mafra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mafra - Leixões Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.69)
    3.07
    (3.28)
    2.98
    (2.48)
    7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mafra - Leixões?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mafra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Leixões were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Leixões - Mafra 2:1
    17.03.2024 Leixões - Mafra 1:1
    04.11.2023 Mafra - Leixões 0:1
    14.11.2022 Mafra - Leixões 1:1
    Latest results of Mafra
    30.04.2025 Benfica B - Mafra 5:0
    20.04.2025 Marítimo - Mafra 2:0
    14.04.2025 Mafra - Penafiel 4:2
    31.03.2025 Mafra - Felgueiras 1:0
    Latest results of Leixões
    27.04.2025 Leixões - Penafiel 3:1
    18.04.2025 Felgueiras - Leixões 4:0
    05.04.2025 Marítimo - Leixões 1:1
    30.03.2025 Leixões - Leiria 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela642011:3814
    2Maritimo64116:2413
    3Sporting CP B64027:3412
    4Chaves62409:5410
    5Leiria53116:4210
    6Portimonense631210:11-110
    7Lusitania FC62317:709
    8Feirense62228:538
    9Torreense62228:628
    10SC Farense62135:8-37
    11Leixoes62137:9-27
    12Felgueiras62136:9-37
    13Oliveirense51314:406
    14Academico Viseu61239:10-15
    15Penafiel61235:7-25
    16Benfica B60428:10-24
    17Pacos Ferreira60423:7-44
    18FC Porto B60243:12-92

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