Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Werton ⚽, Bica (A),
- 7', 1 - 1, Etim F. ⚽, Matos R. (A),
- 33', Fabinho 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Jaiminho ⚽, Werton (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Matos R. ↓, Lucas Gabriel ↑,
- 67', Evrard Zag ↓, Seruca A. ↑,
- 67', Jaiminho ↓, Ndo R. ↑,
- 70', Pata I. ↓, Monteiro V. ↑,
- 71', Djabi A. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
- 77', Andre ↓, Rafael Martins ↑,
- 77', Bica ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
- 87', Werton ↓, Paulite ↑,
- 90+1', Capitao D. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
- 90+1', Goncalves V. ↓, Chriso ↑,
- 90+4', Paulite 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mafra 38.3% | Draw 30.2% | Leixões 31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leixões might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mafra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mafra - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↓ (2.69) |
3.07 ↓ (3.28) |
2.98 ↑ (2.48) |
7% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - Leixões?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Leixões (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Leixões (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leixões will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leixões (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mafra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Leixões?
Mafra has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Mafra?
Leixões has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Leixões were as follows:
20.12.2024
Leixões
-
Mafra
2:1
17.03.2024
Leixões
-
Mafra
1:1
04.11.2023
Mafra
-
Leixões
0:1
14.11.2022
Mafra
-
Leixões
1:1
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 42 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3