Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Chicao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Beni D. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 58', Franca F. 🟨,
- 60', Benchi D. ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
- 60', Gomes A. ↓, Pedro Clemente ↑,
- 62', Ninte M. ↓, Raposo C. ↑,
- 65', Neves L. 🟨,
- 67', Iheanacho S. ↓, Fati E. ↑,
- 67', Neves L. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
- 73', Chamito ↓, Rebelo M. ↑,
- 73', Franca F. ↓, Boloto ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Camara M. ⚽,
- 85', Chicao ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 88', Xico 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mafra
41% | Draw
29.7% | Varzim
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Mafra - Varzim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.29) |
3.1 ↑
(2.92) |
3.14 ↓
(3.15) |
8.6%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - Varzim?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Mafra (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mafra (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Varzim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Varzim?
Mafra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Mafra?
Varzim has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Varzim were as follows:
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
