Result
1:0
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Ventura ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Boloto ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
- 52', Pedro Clemente ↓, Chamito ↑,
- 62', Conceicao M. ↓, Meireles A. ↑,
- 67', Vivas S. 🟨,
- 69', Franca F. ↓, Benchi D. ↑,
- 70', Gunjo J. 🟨,
- 72', Almeida F. 🟨,
- 72', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
- 72', Rodrigues D. ↓, Arome ↑,
- 74', Derick 🟨,
- 76', Meireles A. 🟨,
- 77', Derick ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 82', Duarte M. 🟨,
- 88', Almeida F. ↓, Innusah H. ↑,
- 88', Zangre A. ↓, Silva R. ↑,
- 90+5', Ribeiro O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amarante
39.4% | Draw
33% | Varzim
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varzim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Amarante - Varzim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.55) |
2.8 ↓
(2.92) |
3.35 ↑
(2.78) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 2.
- Amarante has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Varzim's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Varzim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Varzim?
Amarante has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Amarante?
Varzim has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Varzim were as follows:
07.02.2026
Varzim
-
Amarante
2:1
09.11.2025
Varzim
-
Amarante
0:0
10.08.2025
Amarante
-
Varzim
0:1
06.04.2025
Amarante
-
Varzim
2:1
08.02.2025
Varzim
-
Amarante
1:2
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
