Result
0:2
11/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', 🟨,
- 38', 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', 🟨,
- 68', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varzim
45.2% | Draw
28.5% | Mafra
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Varzim - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.27) |
3.24 ↑
(2.9) |
3.5 ↑
(3.15) |
8.5%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Varzim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Varzim will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Mafra?
Varzim has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Varzim?
Mafra has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Mafra were as follows:
15.02.2026
Mafra
-
Varzim
1:0
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
