Elversberg vs Magdeburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
06/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.310.94
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
43
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
115
Passes
81% (321/397)81% (344/424)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.310.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.38
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
65
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
114
Passes
81% (321/397)81% (344/424)
Long passes
52% (22/42)47% (37/78)
Passes in final third
72% (105/146)61% (55/90)
Crosses
30% (8/27)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.75
Throw ins
1716
Fouls
411
Tackles
76% (13/17)77% (17/22)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
2336
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.381.42
Goals prevented
0.380.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Stalmach D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ulrich L. , Musonda L. ,
  • 55', Atik B. 🟨,
  • 60', Mokwa Ntusu D. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 72', Stalmach D. , Geschwill M. ,
  • 73', Ghrieb R. , Tachie R. ,
  • 73', Gunther L. , Conte B. ,
  • 73', Pherai I. , Mickelson N. ,
  • 82', Gyamerah J. , Keidel F. ,
  • 82', Schmahl F. , Sickinger C. ,
  • 82', Nollenberger A. , Pesch N. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Poreba L. , Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 86', Gnaka S. , Holmstrom A. ,

Chances of winning


Elversberg
51.3%
Draw
23.3%
Magdeburg
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 24.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 23.7% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Elversberg - Magdeburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.94)
    4.04
    (3.85)
    3.72
    (3.31)
    5.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Elversberg - Magdeburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Elversberg (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Elversberg (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Elversberg (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Elversberg (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elversberg will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 14 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • Elversberg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Magdeburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Elversberg is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Conde A. (Yellow Cards) Dragon P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Inactive) Heber D. (Inactive) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury) Michel F. (Yellow Cards) Muller T. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Magdeburg were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Magdeburg - Elversberg 0:4
    19.01.2025 Elversberg - Magdeburg 2:5
    03.08.2024 Magdeburg - Elversberg 0:0
    06.04.2024 Elversberg - Magdeburg 0:0
    29.10.2023 Magdeburg - Elversberg 1:2
    Latest results of Elversberg
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    01.03.2026 Magdeburg - Karlsruher 1:3
    21.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Magdeburg 5:3
    30.01.2026 Magdeburg - Hannover 1:2
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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