Result
0:4
05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 3.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/440) | 79% (268/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 3.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/440) | 79% (268/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (33/58) | 60% (27/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (104/144) | 75% (77/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', Mickelson N. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Conte B. ⚽, Mickelson N. (A),
- 45', 0 - 2, Zimmerschied T. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Petkov L. 🟨,
- 50', Atik B. 🟨,
- 61', Musonda L. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
- 61', Ghrieb R. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
- 63', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 64', Conde A. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
- 64', Mickelson N. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
- 72', Gnaka S. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
- 73', Muller T. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 3, Stange O. ⚽,
- 79', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 4, Malanga J. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
- 84', Breunig M. ↓, Michel F. ↑,
- 89', Conte B. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Magdeburg
37.1% | Draw
25.3% | Elversberg
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)The chances for Elversberg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Magdeburg - Elversberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.62) |
3.75 ↑
(3.4) |
2.5 ↑
(2.45) |
5.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Elversberg?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Elversberg will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- Magdeburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Elversberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H.
(Muscle Injury)
Chahed T.
(Muscle Injury)
Zukowski M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P.
(Knee Injury)
Gunther L.
(Muscle Injury)
Pfeiffer L.
(Foot Injury)
Seifert L.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Elversberg will win today's game, with odds of 2.52.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Magdeburg won against Elversberg?
Magdeburg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Magdeburg?
Elversberg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Elversberg were as follows:
19.01.2025
Elversberg
-
Magdeburg
2:5
03.08.2024
Magdeburg
-
Elversberg
0:0
06.04.2024
Elversberg
-
Magdeburg
0:0
29.10.2023
Magdeburg
-
Elversberg
1:2
Latest results of Magdeburg
Latest results of Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hannover | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Preussen Munster | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:28 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | Nurnberg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Bochum | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
