Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
3:3
13/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 16
  • Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.922.16
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
82% (329/402)72% (219/303)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.922.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.862.19
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
82% (329/402)72% (219/303)
Long passes
55% (36/66)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
61% (67/109)56% (40/71)
Crosses
16% (4/25)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.01
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1114
Tackles
100% (12/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4738
Clearances
1925
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.192.86
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Zec D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Pesch N. ⚽, Zukowski M. (A),
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Atik B. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', Michel F. 🟨,
  • 60', Ulrich L. 🟨,
  • 60', Kapralik A. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
  • 60', Wagner R. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Zec D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 69', Pesch N. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
  • 69', Ulrich L. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
  • 76', Therkelsen J. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
  • 81', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Zukowski M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', Knudsen M. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
  • 85', Komenda M. ↓, Koster L. ↑,
  • 86', Schwab S. 🟨,
  • 89', Muller M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Atik B. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
  • 90+1', Gnaka S. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Skrzybski S. ⚽, Muller M. (A),

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
44.8%		Draw
26.9%		Holstein Kiel
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 26.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 26.4% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdeburg's performance.
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holstein Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magdeburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.11 ↓
    (2.45)    		 3.5
    (3.5)    		 3.3 ↑
    (2.58)    		 6.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Holstein Kiel (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Holstein Kiel (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Magdeburg will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Magdeburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Ghrieb R. (Yellow Cards) Heber D. (Muscle Injury) Holmstrom A. (Muscle Injury) Hugonet J. (Knee Injury) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Krempicki C. (Leg Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kelati A. (Knee Injury) Rosenboom L. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Magdeburg: Musonda L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    02.02.2024 Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    01.11.2023 Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg 3:4
    20.08.2023 Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg 2:4
    11.02.2023 Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg 2:3
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    07.12.2025 Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg 0:2 ✺
    02.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Magdeburg 3:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Magdeburg - Nürnberg 3:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg 2:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    07.12.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel 4:1 ✺
    13.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Silkeborg IF 3:2
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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