Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
13/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 16
  • Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.922.16
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
82% (329/402)72% (219/303)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.922.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.862.19
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
82% (329/402)72% (219/303)
Long passes
55% (36/66)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
61% (67/109)56% (40/71)
Crosses
16% (4/25)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.01
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1114
Tackles
100% (12/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4738
Clearances
1925
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.192.86
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Zec D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Pesch N. , Zukowski M. (A),
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Atik B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', Michel F. 🟨,
  • 60', Ulrich L. 🟨,
  • 60', Kapralik A. , Skrzybski S. ,
  • 60', Wagner R. , Schwab S. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Zec D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 69', Pesch N. , Breunig M. ,
  • 69', Ulrich L. , Stalmach D. ,
  • 76', Therkelsen J. , Davidsen K. ,
  • 81', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Zukowski M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', Knudsen M. , Muller M. ,
  • 85', Komenda M. , Koster L. ,
  • 86', Schwab S. 🟨,
  • 89', Muller M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Atik B. , Hercher P. ,
  • 90+1', Gnaka S. , Geschwill M. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Skrzybski S. , Muller M. (A),

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
44.8%
Draw
26.9%
Holstein Kiel
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 26.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 26.4% 35.8%

Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.11
(2.45)
3.5
(3.5)
3.3
(2.58)
6.4%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: Magdeburg will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Magdeburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Ghrieb R. (Yellow Cards) Heber D. (Muscle Injury) Holmstrom A. (Muscle Injury) Hugonet J. (Knee Injury) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Krempicki C. (Leg Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kelati A. (Knee Injury) Rosenboom L. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Magdeburg: Musonda L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    02.02.2024 Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    01.11.2023 Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg 3:4
    20.08.2023 Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg 2:4
    11.02.2023 Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg 2:3
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    07.12.2025 Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg 0:2
    02.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Magdeburg 3:1
    29.11.2025 Magdeburg - Nürnberg 3:0
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke17121422:101237
    2Elversberg17104331:151634
    3Darmstadt1796229:171233
    4Paderborn17103428:181033
    5Hannover1785430:22829
    6Hertha Berlin1784521:16528
    7Kaiserslautern1783629:21827
    8Nurnberg1764719:23-422
    9Karlsruher SC1764725:33-822
    10Bochum1763823:22121
    11Holstein Kiel1755720:22-220
    12Preussen Munster1755722:26-420
    13Braunschweig1762920:29-920
    14Arminia Bielefeld1754827:24319
    15Magdeburg17521021:29-817
    16Dusseldorf17521015:27-1217
    17Greuther Furth17431026:44-1815
    18SG Dynamo Dresden17341024:34-1013

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