Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
- Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (300/388) | 80% (337/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (300/388) | 80% (337/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/63) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (99/131) | 63% (79/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Muller T. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
- 47', Beifus M. 🟨,
- 64', Muller A. ↓, Burnic D. ↑,
- 64', Atik B. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
- 70', Schleusener F. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
- 70', Forster P. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
- 72', Gnaka S. 🟨,
- 75', Breunig M. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
- 75', Gnaka S. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
- 82', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
- 83', Geschwill M. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 0, Kobald C. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
- 86', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
- 87', Ghrieb R. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 89', Egloff L. ↓, Kritzer M. ↑,
- 90+2', Musonda L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Reimann D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Karlsruher
42.9% | Draw
25.3% | Magdeburg
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlsruher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magdeburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karlsruher - Magdeburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2) |
3.78 ↑
(3.6) |
2.98 ↓
(3.3) |
5.3%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Karlsruher - Magdeburg?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 63% – 95.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karlsruher will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 2.
- Karlsruher is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Magdeburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Magdeburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Karlsruher might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L.
(Broken Leg)
Ersungur A.
(Knee Injury)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H.
(Muscle Injury)
Chahed T.
(Muscle Injury)
Zukowski M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karlsruher: Franke M.
(Back Injury)
Jung S.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Karlsruher won against Magdeburg?
Karlsruher has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Magdeburg won against Karlsruher?
Magdeburg has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karlsruher - Magdeburg were as follows:
22.02.2025
Karlsruher
-
Magdeburg
3:1
22.09.2024
Magdeburg
-
Karlsruher
2:2
17.03.2024
Karlsruher
-
Magdeburg
7:0
07.10.2023
Magdeburg
-
Karlsruher
1:1
05.02.2023
Magdeburg
-
Karlsruher
1:1
Latest results of Karlsruher
Latest results of Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Schalke | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Hannover | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Bochum | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
