Magdeburg vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
1:3
01/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.650.78
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
97
Big chances
62
Corner kicks
62
Passes
86% (447/520)69% (211/308)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
2.650.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.472.72
Total shots
238
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
90
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
156
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
62
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3014
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
01
Free kicks
129
Passes
86% (447/520)69% (211/308)
Long passes
62% (46/74)30% (19/63)
Passes in final third
75% (124/165)54% (43/80)
Crosses
24% (7/29)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.480.27
Throw ins
2212
Fouls
912
Tackles
50% (5/10)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3937
Clearances
924
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
48
xGOT faced
2.721.47
Goals prevented
-0.280.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
  • 37', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Jung S. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
  • 46', Hugonet J. ↓, Mathisen M. ↑,
  • 46', Gnaka S. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Ben Farhat L. ⚽,
  • 57', Tachie R. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
  • 64', Muller T. 🟨,
  • 65', Burnic D. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Stalmach D. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
  • 69', Simic R. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
  • 69', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
  • 79', Bernat C. 🟨,
  • 82', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
  • 82', Burnic D. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
  • 82', Ulrich L. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
  • 85', Herold D. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Wanitzek M. ⚽,
  • 90+6', Michel F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
55.8%		Draw
22.1%		Karlsruher
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 20.9% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 20.2% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Magdeburg - Karlsruher Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.68 ↑
    (1.62)    		 4.26 ↓
    (4.52)    		 4.26 ↓
    (4.54)    		 6.3%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Karlsruher?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Karlsruher (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 0.
    • Magdeburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Karlsruher has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Karlsruher may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Magdeburg is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Inactive) Heber D. (Inactive) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Knee Injury) Egloff L. (Inactive) Rapp N. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Karlsruher were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Karlsruher - Magdeburg 1:0
    22.02.2025 Karlsruher - Magdeburg 3:1
    22.09.2024 Magdeburg - Karlsruher 2:2
    17.03.2024 Karlsruher - Magdeburg 7:0
    07.10.2023 Magdeburg - Karlsruher 1:1
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    21.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Magdeburg 5:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld 0:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg 4:5 ✺
    30.01.2026 Magdeburg - Hannover 1:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    21.02.2026 Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    13.02.2026 Nürnberg - Karlsruher 5:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Eintracht Braunschweig - Karlsruher 1:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin 2:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke26156537:231451
    2Darmstadt261310348:291949
    3Elversberg26146644:281648
    4Paderborn26146643:301348
    5Hannover26137645:341146
    6Hertha Berlin26118737:31641
    7Kaiserslautern261241045:38740
    8Karlsruher SC26971040:50-1034
    9Bochum2689936:33333
    10Nurnberg26961134:37-333
    11Dusseldorf26941324:35-1131
    12SG Dynamo Dresden26781144:44029
    13Braunschweig26851329:43-1429
    14Greuther Furth26851339:56-1729
    15Arminia Bielefeld26771238:36228
    16Preussen Munster26681230:44-1426
    17Holstein Kiel26671331:40-925
    18Magdeburg26731636:49-1324

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          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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