Mai Hontama vs Alina Charaeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Huzhou Challenger Women Mai Hontama - Alina Charaeva
Result
0:2
12/09/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Huzhou, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
73
1st Serve Percentage
78%75%
1st Serve Points Won
48% (25/52)69% (33/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
73% (11/15)38% (6/16)
Break Points Saved
14% (1/7)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
60% (29/48)52% (27/52)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (10/16)53% (8/15)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
48% (32/67)48% (32/66)
Return Points Won
52% (34/66)52% (35/67)
Total Points Won
48% (64/133)50% (67/133)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
45% (5/11)55% (6/11)
Return Games Won
45% (5/11)55% (6/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Mai Hontama
38.8%
Alina Charaeva
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 64.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Mai Hontama - Alina Charaeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.5)

    1.54
    (1.5)
    6.5%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Mai Hontama - Alina Charaeva?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hontama is ranked WTA: 182. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 159.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Hontama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Charaeva might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mai Hontama
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Yang Y. (WC)2 : 0
    2Zheng W.Pieri J. (Q)0 : 2
    3You X. (WC)Gasanova A.0 : 2
    4Lu J. (WC)Tararudee L. (5)1 : 2
    5Erjavec V. (3)Chang H. (Q)2 : 0
    6Saito S.Paquet C.0 : 2
    7Shimizu A.Okamura K.0 : 2
    8Zhao C.Wei S. (7)0 : 2
    9Hontama M. (6)Wang M. (WC)2 : 0
    10Shi H.Yao X.0 : 2
    11Cherubini D. (Q)Serban R.2 : 0
    12Liang E. S. (LL)Charaeva A. (9)1 : 2
    13Timofeeva M. (8)Park S.2 : 0
    14Ma Y.Friedsam A-L.0 : 2
    15Monnet C.Diyas Z.2 : 1
    16Kulambayeva Z. (Q)Garland J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Carle M. L. (1)Pieri J.1 : 2
    2Gasanova A.Tararudee L. (5)2 : 0
    3Erjavec V. (3)Paquet C.2 : 0
    4Okamura K.Wei S. (RET.) (7)1 : 1
    5Hontama M. (6)Yao X.2 : 0
    6Cherubini D.Charaeva A. (9)1 : 2
    7Timofeeva M. (8)Friedsam A-L.1 : 2
    8Monnet C.Garland J. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Pieri J.Gasanova A.0 : 2
    2Erjavec V. (3)Okamura K.2 : 0
    3Hontama M. (6)Charaeva A. (9)0 : 2
    4Friedsam A-L.Monnet C.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gasanova A.Erjavec V. (3)0 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (9)Monnet C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Erjavec V. (3)Charaeva A. (9)2 : 0