Freiburg II vs Mainz II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)

Chances of winning


Freiburg II
41.4%
Draw
24.8%
Mainz II
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 24.1% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 24.1% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Freiburg II - Mainz II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.09)
    3.72
    (3.78)
    2.72
    (2.82)
    8.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 3.
    • Freiburg II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mainz II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mainz II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg II - Mainz II were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Freiburg II - Mainz II 1:3
    16.11.2024 Mainz II - Freiburg II 0:1
    Latest results of Freiburg II
    Latest results of Mainz II
    09.11.2025 Mainz II - FSV Frankfurt 0:1
    25.10.2025 Mainz II - Freiberg 2:1
    18.10.2025 Sandhausen - Mainz II 2:2
    11.10.2025 Mainz II - Balingen 2:0
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiberg24156354:203451
    2Grossaspach24147366:333349
    3FSV Frankfurt24124844:301440
    4Mainz II24117640:31940
    5FC 08 Homburg24109549:301939
    6Stutt. Kickers24123936:32439
    7Walldorf24115847:45238
    8Sandhausen24115840:42-238
    9Steinbach Haiger2498747:41635
    10Kassel2497842:38434
    11Fulda-Lehnerz2489738:33533
    12Eintracht Trier24951038:37132
    13Freiburg II24861048:54-630
    14Offenbach2478938:44-629
    15Alzenau24641430:47-1722
    16Balingen24541527:63-3619
    17Schott Mainz24341725:57-3213
    18Bahlinger24271522:54-3213

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