Freiburg II vs Mainz II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Regionalliga Sudwest Freiburg II - Mainz II
Result
1:3
17/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Mamutovic D. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 66', 1 - 2, Mamutovic D. ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Richter M. ,

Chances of winning


Freiburg II
30.6%
Draw
23.2%
Mainz II
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 22.8% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 21.9% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg II's form might have worsened.
  • Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mainz II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Freiburg II - Mainz II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.15)
    3.88
    (4.05)
    1.94
    (2.69)
    11.3%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 4.
    • Freiburg II is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mainz II is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg II - Mainz II were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Mainz II - Freiburg II 0:1
    Latest results of Freiburg II
    Latest results of Mainz II
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hoffenheim II34236586:335375
    2Offenbach341810675:423364
    3Freiberg34196955:371863
    4Steinbach Haiger341681046:46056
    5FSV Frankfurt341671160:501055
    6Stutt. Kickers341571256:461052
    7Freiburg II341571256:50652
    8FC 08 Homburg3412111156:451147
    9Kassel341451554:56-247
    10Fulda-Lehnerz3411131041:45-446
    11Walldorf341271557:58-143
    12Mainz II341251748:53-541
    13Eintracht Trier341181546:61-1541
    14Bahlinger341241837:67-3040
    15Giessen341081637:56-1938
    16Eintracht Frankfurt II34981745:49-435
    17Goppinger34981745:64-1935
    18Villingen34562344:86-4221

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
          Relegation