Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 World | Onefootball |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, Gitau Andre ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 0, Vargas N. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, Bonianga P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mainz II
41.4% | Draw
25.9% | Hessen Kassel
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Hessen Kassel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (+5%)
Mainz II - Hessen Kassel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.42) |
3.57 ↓
(3.64) |
2.82 ↑
(2.43) |
8.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 3.
- Mainz II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hessen Kassel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hessen Kassel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz II won against Hessen Kassel?
Mainz II has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hessen Kassel won against Mainz II?
Hessen Kassel has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz II - Hessen Kassel were as follows:
09.08.2025
Hessen Kassel
-
Mainz II
3:0
23.11.2024
Hessen Kassel
-
Mainz II
1:3
28.07.2024
Mainz II
-
Hessen Kassel
3:0
17.11.2023
Mainz II
-
Hessen Kassel
4:1
05.08.2023
Hessen Kassel
-
Mainz II
2:0
Latest results of Mainz II
Latest results of Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grossaspach | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 86:39 | 47 | 67 |
| 2 | Freiberg | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62:33 | 29 | 58 |
| 3 | Mainz II | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 51:40 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Sandhausen | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50:51 | -1 | 51 |
| 5 | FC 08 Homburg | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 63:37 | 26 | 50 |
| 6 | Steinbach Haiger | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 71:53 | 18 | 50 |
| 7 | FSV Frankfurt | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 58:45 | 13 | 50 |
| 8 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 9 | Kassel | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 55:50 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Stutt. Kickers | 31 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 46:44 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Freiburg II | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 68:67 | 1 | 45 |
| 12 | Walldorf | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 59:62 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 | Eintracht Trier | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 43 |
| 14 | Offenbach | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 39 |
| 15 | Alzenau ✔ | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 39:63 | -24 | 26 |
| 16 | Schott Mainz ✔ | 31 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 37:78 | -41 | 22 |
| 17 | Balingen ✔ | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 33:79 | -46 | 22 |
| 18 | Bahlinger ✔ | 31 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 28:68 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion ~ 3. Liga
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Alzenau is Relegated to
Schott Mainz is Relegated to
Balingen is Relegated to
Bahlinger is Relegated to
