Result
3:1
30/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 27
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, ZAP |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Angola | Z Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Ultra |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Nova Sport |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, PPTV Sports |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.78 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Total shots |
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18 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 4 |
Passes |
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75% (318/425) | 79% (423/534) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.78 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.54 | 0.47 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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24 | 28 |
Through passes |
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100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 10 |
Passes |
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75% (318/425) | 79% (423/534) |
Long passes |
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34% (24/71) | 45% (24/53) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (100/142) | 66% (84/128) |
Crosses |
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38% (6/16) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
3.11 | 1.18 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 8 |
Tackles |
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61% (14/23) | 41% (11/27) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 62 |
Clearances Total |
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26 | 28 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.47 | 2.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.53 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Beier M. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Can E. ⚽, Schlotterbeck N. (A),
- 45', Couto Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Couto Y. ↓, Svensson D. ↑,
- 65', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 66', Widmer S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Beier M. ⚽, Schlotterbeck N. (A),
- 76', 3 - 1, Nebel P. ⚽,
- 79', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
- 79', Ozcan S. ↓, Sule N. ↑,
- 88', Nebel P. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 88', Caci A. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 89', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
- 90', Adeyemi K. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
- 90+1', Anton W. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Borussia Dortmund 57.4% | Draw 23.3% | Mainz 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-1%)
Borussia Dortmund - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.71) |
4.1 ↑ (4.04) |
4.97 ↑ (4.83) |
4.3% (4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 17 - 43.6%). Mainz will win (votes: 18 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 30.6% – 61.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1.
- Recent matches Borussia D is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Mainz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
- There will not play in Borussia D: Mane F.
(Muscle Injury)
Nmecha F.
(Knee Injury)
Sabitzer M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Bell S.
(Thigh Injury)
Kohr D.
(Red Card)
Mwene P.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:23 (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Mainz?
Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Borussia Dortmund?
Mainz has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Mainz were as follows:
09.11.2024
Mainz
-
Borussia Dortmund
3:1
11.05.2024
Mainz
-
Borussia Dortmund
3:0
19.12.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Mainz
1:1
27.05.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Mainz
2:2
25.01.2023
Mainz
-
Borussia Dortmund
1:2
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga