Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Brazil | Canal GOAT, SporTV |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | ESPN Premium |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | ESPN 2 |
Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.31 | 1.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
75% (275/368) | 77% (302/392) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.31 | 1.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.23 | 2.13 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
75% (275/368) | 77% (302/392) |
Long passes |
---|
32% (19/59) | 40% (24/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (91/144) | 58% (59/101) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (4/21) | 43% (3/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.65 | 1.56 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (10/17) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.13 | 0.23 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.13 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Svensson D. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
- 40', 0 - 2, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
- 43', Couto Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Amiri N. 🟨,
- 63', Leitsch M. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
- 63', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 67', Zentner R. 🟥,
- 68', Adeyemi K. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
- 69', Hanche-Olsen A. ↓, Riess L. ↑,
- 69', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
- 77', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
- 77', Sabitzer M. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
- 80', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 80', Sieb A. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
- 87', Beier M. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
- 90', Nebel P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz 27.5% | Draw 25% | Borussia Dortmund 47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Mainz - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.49 ↑ (3.23) |
3.84 ↑ (3.78) |
2.04 ↓ (2.09) |
3.7% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mainz - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 2.
- Recent performances by Mainz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Borussia D is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Borussia D might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mainz: Caci A.
(Muscle Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Gleiber D.
(Thigh Injury)
Kohr D.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A.
(Muscle Injury)
Campbell C.
(International duty)
Can E.
(Groin Injury)
Duranville J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sule N.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Mainz: Hollerbach B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Widmer S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Silva F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Borussia Dortmund?
Mainz has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Mainz?
Borussia Dortmund has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
30.03.2025
Borussia Dortmund
-
Mainz
3:1
09.11.2024
Mainz
-
Borussia Dortmund
3:1
11.05.2024
Mainz
-
Borussia Dortmund
3:0
19.12.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Mainz
1:1
27.05.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Mainz
2:2
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
7 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga