Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
4:0
13/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyRTL, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid, Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandRTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.861.51
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
75
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
72
Passes
84% (420/499)80% (346/432)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.861.51
xG on target (xGOT)
2.761.23
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
30
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
05
Free kicks
510
Passes
84% (420/499)80% (346/432)
Long passes
46% (21/46)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)60% (57/95)
Crosses
31% (8/26)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.650.71
Throw ins
1722
Fouls
105
Tackles
43% (3/7)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3841
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
1.232.76
Goals prevented
1.23-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 9', Widmer S. 🟨,
  • 10', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
  • 15', 2 - 0, Beier M. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
  • 23', Sule N. 🟨,
  • 27', Bell S. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
  • 42', 3 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sule N. ↓, Reggiani L. ↑,
  • 56', Posch S. 🟨,
  • 60', Silas ↓, Becker S. ↑,
  • 61', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
  • 61', Widmer S. ↓, Mwene P. ↑,
  • 61', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 61', Beier M. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
  • 73', Tietz P. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
  • 74', Nmecha F. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
  • 74', Guirassy S. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Kohr D. (Own goal),
  • 86', Chukwuemeka C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Silva F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
58.3%		Draw
22.5%		Mainz
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 20.4% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 19.8% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Mainz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.64 ↑
    (1.52)    		 4.25 ↓
    (4.64)    		 5 ↓
    (5.54)    		 4.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Mainz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Mainz (4.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5 - Mainz (1.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Borussia D (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Borussia D (2.10) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Mainz (2.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Mainz (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Mainz (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Borussia D (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Mainz (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (71 of 82 users predict this - 86.59%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.21% – 93.97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (22 of 22 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Mainz (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 2.
    • In recent matches, Borussia D has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mainz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Borussia D is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hanche-Olsen A. (Inactive) Hollerbach B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kawasaki S. (Injury) Leitsch M. (Muscle Injury) Maloney L. (Illness) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Adeyemi K. (Ankle Injury) Couto Y. (Illness) Sabitzer M. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Mainz were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    30.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1
    09.11.2024 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 3:1
    11.05.2024 Mainz - Borussia Dortmund 3:0
    19.12.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 1:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    07.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim 3:2 ✺
    28.01.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    20.01.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Mainz
    07.02.2026 Mainz - Augsburg 2:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Köln - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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