Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN 5
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2, ESPN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 3 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.551.23
Ball possession
30%70%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
54
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
53
Passes
75% (173/232)89% (522/584)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.551.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.751.82
Total shots
812
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1626
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
43
Free kicks
512
Passes
75% (173/232)89% (522/584)
Long passes
48% (19/40)52% (22/42)
Passes in final third
53% (41/77)63% (63/100)
Crosses
0% (0/19)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.101.56
Throw ins
1228
Fouls
125
Tackles
63% (12/19)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3632
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.821.75
Goals prevented
0.82-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', Tietz P. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Nebel P. , Becker S. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Brown N. , Bahoya J. (A),
  • 27', Doan R. 🟨,
  • 45', Mwene P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Brown N. , Skhiri E. ,
  • 58', Bahoya J. , Amaimouni A. ,
  • 65', Collins N. , Baum E. ,
  • 69', Mwene P. , Veratschnig N. ,
  • 69', Tietz P. , Weiper N. ,
  • 79', Doan R. , Uzun C. Y. ,
  • 79', Chaibi F. , Knauff A. ,
  • 81', Lee Jae-Sung , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Nebel P. ,
  • 90+1', Becker S. , Maloney L. ,

Chances of winning


Mainz
43.9%
Draw
26.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 25.7% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.5% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Mainz aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.24)
    3.54
    (3.7)
    3.27
    (2.99)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Eintracht will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 45.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.7%62.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Eintracht (3.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Eintracht (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Eintracht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mainz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:0
    04.05.2025 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1
    21.12.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:3
    26.01.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:0
    27.08.2023 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    19.03.2026 Mainz - Sigma Olomouc 2:0
    15.03.2026 Werder Bremen - Mainz 0:2
    12.03.2026 Sigma Olomouc - Mainz 0:0
    07.03.2026 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:2
    28.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:1
    Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

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