Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mewa Arena (Mainz).

Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena, Sky Sport Max
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 4, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	1.38
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
8	1
Passes
81% (446/554)	67% (208/311)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	1.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.23	0.61
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
23	8
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
81% (446/554)	67% (208/311)
Long passes
46% (38/82)	32% (24/76)
Passes in final third
71% (114/161)	49% (38/77)
Crosses
25% (8/32)	0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.12	0.47
Throw-ins
22	26
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
77% (10/13)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
39	55
Clearances
19	50
Interceptions
11	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.61	1.23
Goals prevented
-0.39	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Kohr D. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Kristensen R. ⚽, Ekitike H. (A),
25', da Costa D. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Burkardt J. ⚽, Hanche-Olsen A. (A),
72', Amiri N. 🟨,
74', Bahoya J. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
74', Knauff A. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
81', Caci A. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
81', Mwene P. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
81', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
85', Brown N. ↓, Nkounkou N. ↑,
90+3', Ekitike H. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Mainz
44.2%

Draw
25.8%

Eintracht Frankfurt
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.31)	3.73 ↑ (3.7)	3.21 ↑ (2.99)	3.9% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt?

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 11 - 28.2%). Eintracht will win (votes: 13 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 53.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 40%). Eintracht (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
Mainz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Eintracht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Eintracht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Eintracht: Gotze M. (Thigh Injury) Kaua Santos (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Mainz: Caci A. (Ankle Injury) Jenz M. (Hip Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Eintracht Frankfurt?

Mainz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Eintracht Frankfurt won against Mainz?

Eintracht Frankfurt has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt were as follows:

21.12.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:3

26.01.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:0

27.08.2023 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1

13.05.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 3:0

13.11.2022 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1

Latest results of Mainz

26.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt

26.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig 4:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺

17.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Tottenham Hotspur 0:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim 3:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	6:0	6	3
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
5	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
7	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
8	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
9	St. Pauli	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
10	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Bayer Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
16	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	0:6	-6	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga