Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN 5
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2, ESPN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 3 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.551.23
Ball possession
30%70%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
54
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
53
Passes
75% (173/232)89% (522/584)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.551.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.751.82
Total shots
812
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1626
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
43
Free kicks
512
Passes
75% (173/232)89% (522/584)
Long passes
48% (19/40)52% (22/42)
Passes in final third
53% (41/77)63% (63/100)
Crosses
0% (0/19)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.101.56
Throw ins
1228
Fouls
125
Tackles
63% (12/19)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3632
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.821.75
Goals prevented
0.82-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', Tietz P. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Nebel P. , Becker S. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Brown N. , Bahoya J. (A),
  • 27', Doan R. 🟨,
  • 45', Mwene P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Brown N. , Skhiri E. ,
  • 58', Bahoya J. , Amaimouni A. ,
  • 65', Collins N. , Baum E. ,
  • 69', Mwene P. , Veratschnig N. ,
  • 69', Tietz P. , Weiper N. ,
  • 79', Doan R. , Uzun C. Y. ,
  • 79', Chaibi F. , Knauff A. ,
  • 81', Lee Jae-Sung , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Nebel P. ,
  • 90+1', Becker S. , Maloney L. ,

Chances of winning


Mainz
43.9%
Draw
26.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 25.7% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 26.5% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Mainz aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.24)
    3.54
    (3.7)
    3.27
    (2.99)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Eintracht will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 45.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.7%62.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Eintracht (3.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Eintracht (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Eintracht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mainz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:0
    04.05.2025 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1
    21.12.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:3
    26.01.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:0
    27.08.2023 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    19.03.2026 Mainz - Sigma Olomouc 2:0
    15.03.2026 Werder Bremen - Mainz 0:2
    12.03.2026 Sigma Olomouc - Mainz 0:0
    07.03.2026 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:2
    28.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:1
    Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 322651116:358183
    2Dortmund32207565:323367
    3RB Leipzig32195863:422162
    4Bayer Leverkusen32177866:432358
    5Stuttgart32177866:462058
    6Hoffenheim32177864:481658
    7Eintracht Frankfurt3211101157:60-343
    8Freiburg311271244:52-843
    9Augsburg321171442:56-1440
    10Mainz329101341:50-937
    11B. Monchengladbach328111337:50-1335
    12Hamburger SV328101436:51-1534
    13Union Berlin32891537:57-2033
    14FC Koln327111447:55-832
    15Werder Bremen32881637:57-2032
    16St. Pauli32681827:55-2826
    17Wolfsburg31671841:66-2525
    18Heidenheim32581938:69-3123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )