Makhtaaral vs Tobol Kostanay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay
Result
1:1
05/10/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Makhtaaral
37.3%
Draw
28.8%
Tobol Kostanay
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 28.7% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 28.2% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Makhtaaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Makhtaaral's performance.
  • Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Makhtaaral than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Makhtaaral that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.85)
    3.16
    (3.18)
    2.68
    (2.33)
    10%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay?
  • Users Predictions: Makhtaaral will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Makhtaaral won 3.
    • Recent matches Makhtaaral is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tobol in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Makhtaaral won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Makhtaaral won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
    21.05.2023 Tobol Kostanay - Makhtaaral 1:0
    23.10.2022 Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    Latest results of Makhtaaral
    01.10.2023 Atyrau - Makhtaaral 2:0
    27.09.2023 Ordabasy - Makhtaaral 1:0
    23.09.2023 Makhtaaral - Aksu 2:0
    15.09.2023 Kaspiy Aktau - Makhtaaral 0:2
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana18124241:162540
    2Kairat Almaty18124238:142440
    3Tobol17105230:161435
    4Aktobe17103426:121433
    5Yelimay Semey1884625:18728
    6Okzhetpes1884625:24128
    7Ordabasy1775519:13626
    8Zhenis1859420:16424
    9Kyzylzhar1847719:23-419
    10Kaisar Kyzylorda1838718:30-1217
    11Zhetysu Taldykorgan1837814:28-1416
    12Ulytau17341010:24-1413
    13Turan18321313:37-2411
    14Atyrau18221410:37-278

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