Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 36', Segura J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 38', Segura J. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
- 43', de Leon F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Illescas K. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Reyes Gonzalez E. J. ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 2, Martinez N. ⚽,
- 57', de Leon F. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
- 59', Reyes Gonzalez E. J. ↓, Jerry ↑,
- 60', Ochoa J. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
- 66', Yanes A. 🟨,
- 69', Lopez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Ramirez K. 🟨,
- 76', Quinteros F. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 86', Martinez N. ↓, Urizar J. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Malacateco
47.3% | Draw
28.2% | Deportivo Mixco
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-3%)
Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.84) |
3.28 ↑
(3.17) |
3.78 ↓
(4.04) |
8.1%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 1.
- Malacateco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mixco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Malacateco will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Malacateco won against Deportivo Mixco?
Malacateco has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Mixco won against Malacateco?
Deportivo Mixco has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco were as follows:
25.01.2026
Deportivo Mixco
-
Malacateco
1:0
12.10.2025
Deportivo Mixco
-
Malacateco
4:1
01.08.2025
Malacateco
-
Deportivo Mixco
1:2
16.04.2025
Malacateco
-
Deportivo Mixco
2:1
12.02.2025
Deportivo Mixco
-
Malacateco
2:1
Latest results of Malacateco
Latest results of Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xelaju | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Coban Imperial | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Comunicaciones | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo Mixco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Municipal | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Antigua | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Mictlan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11:18 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
