Marquense vs Malacateco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaClaro Sports 2 Latin America, ViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
113
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
88
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
47
Corner kicks
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Ceballos M. , Escobar M. ,
  • 45', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cano J. , Joj J. ,
  • 62', de Leon F. , Perez Ochoa C. A. ,
  • 72', Flores D. , Mencia R. ,
  • 79', Fuentes J. , Elington E. ,
  • 80', Ochoa J. , Martinez L. ,
  • 80', Lopez A. , Andrade N. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Casas D. ,
  • 89', Angulo Grueso B. A. , Trigueno J. ,
  • 89', Meneses R. , Giron Escobar M. R. ,
  • 90+2', Ramirez K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Marquense
43.3%
Draw
29.9%
Malacateco
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 29.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 28.5% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Marquense - Malacateco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.19)
    3.07
    (3.03)
    3.42
    (3.09)
    8.9%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Marquense - Malacateco?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Marquense (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Marquense (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marquense (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Marquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marquense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marquense - Malacateco were as follows:
    21.01.2026 Malacateco - Marquense 2:1
    01.11.2025 Malacateco - Marquense 2:1
    24.08.2025 Marquense - Malacateco 4:1
    27.04.2025 Marquense - Malacateco 2:0
    02.03.2025 Malacateco - Marquense 1:0
    Latest results of Marquense
    28.02.2026 Municipal - Marquense 1:0
    25.02.2026 Marquense - Aurora 0:0
    22.02.2026 Mictlán - Marquense 2:1
    Latest results of Malacateco
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1XelajuMarquense1 : 1
    2ComunicacionesAntigua2 : 0, 2 : 3
    3Deportivo MixcoCoban Imperial2 : 0, 0 : 2
    4MunicipalGuastatoya2 : 0, 1 : 0