Villarreal B vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Villarreal B - Málaga
Result
1:2
07/04/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 35
  • Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Villarreal B
42.3%
Draw
29.7%
Málaga
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 27.5% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26.9% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal B's form might have worsened.
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Villarreal B - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.78)
    3.15
    (3.3)
    3.37
    (4.2)
    6.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Villarreal B - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal B: 32%80.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Villarreal B has the most likely position - 9 (13.25%), project points - 56, currently - 46, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), a very small chance of promoted (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Málaga has the most likely position - 20 (37.85%), project points - 41, currently - 30, a good chance of relegated (87%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 31, small importance 22, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Villarreal B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Villarreal B will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villarreal B - Málaga were as follows:
    24.09.2022 Málaga - Villarreal B 1:1
    Latest results of Villarreal B
    01.04.2023 Tenerife - Villarreal B 1:1
    26.03.2023 Villarreal B - Huesca 0:0
    19.03.2023 Villarreal B - Cartagena 4:2
    11.03.2023 Ibiza - Villarreal B 0:0
    Latest results of Málaga
    02.04.2023 FC Andorra - Málaga 1:0
    27.03.2023 Málaga - Leganés 2:0
    17.03.2023 Málaga - Levante 0:0
    11.03.2023 Las Palmas - Málaga 2:2
    05.03.2023 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valladolid22004:046
    2Racing Santander22006:336
    3Gijon22003:126
    4Burgos CF21105:144
    5Eibar21104:134
    6Las Palmas21104:224
    7Andorra21104:224
    8Dep. La Coruna21103:124
    9Almeria21105:414
    10Malaga21102:114
    11Cadiz CF21102:114
    12Huesca21102:114
    13Real Sociedad B21011:103
    14Leganes20202:202
    15Albacete20116:7-11
    16Mirandes20020:2-20
    17Cordoba20022:5-30
    18Castellon20021:4-30
    19Zaragoza20021:4-30
    20Ceuta20020:4-40
    21Cultural Leonesa20021:6-50
    22Granada CF20021:6-50

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation