Mallorca vs Deportivo Alavés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 7
  • Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.78
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
76% (248/327)86% (446/518)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.38
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1814
Passes
76% (248/327)86% (446/518)
Long passes
51% (32/63)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
62% (58/94)80% (137/171)
Crosses
27% (4/15)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.86
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
1418
Tackles
36% (8/22)62% (16/26)
Duels won
7159
Clearances
3223
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.380.77
Goals prevented
0.38-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Jonny Otto 🟨,
  • 27', Maffeo P. 🟨,
  • 33', Parada V. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Asano T. , Domenech M. (A),
  • 45+2', Samu Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Domenech M. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 64', Parada V. , Yusi ,
  • 65', Boye L. , Diaz M. ,
  • 65', Ibanez P. , Martinez T. ,
  • 68', Muriqi V. , Morey Bauza M. ,
  • 69', Asano T. , Joseph M. ,
  • 82', Jonny Otto , Calebe ,
  • 82', Alena C. , Suarez D. ,
  • 87', Darder S. , Llabres J. ,
  • 87', Morlanes M. , Torre P. ,
  • 90+3', Yusi 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mallorca
46.2%
Draw
34.5%
Deportivo Alavés
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 31.3% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 32.8% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mallorca's performance.
  • Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Alavés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Alavés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.66)
    3.15
    (3.1)
    6.05
    (3)
    -7.2%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Alavés will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 27.4%68.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Alavés (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1.
    • Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Alavés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mallorca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Kumbulla M. (Hamstring Injury) Mascarell O. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Virgili J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés 1:1
    01.11.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca 1:0
    24.02.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca 1:1
    03.12.2023 Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés 0:0
    Latest results of Mallorca
    24.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0
    15.09.2025 Espanyol - Mallorca 3:2
    30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    23.08.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid980120:91124
    2Barcelona971124:101422
    3Villarreal952216:10617
    4Atl. Madrid944116:10616
    5Betis944115:10516
    6Espanyol943213:11215
    7Elche935111:9214
    8Ath Bilbao94239:9014
    9Sevilla1041517:16113
    10Alaves93339:8112
    11Rayo Vallecano932411:10111
    12Getafe93249:12-311
    13Osasuna93157:9-210
    14Real Sociedad1023510:14-49
    15Valencia923410:14-49
    16Levante922513:17-48
    17Mallorca922510:14-48
    18Celta Vigo90728:11-37
    19R. Oviedo92074:16-126
    20Girona91356:19-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2