Mallorca vs Deportivo Alavés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca).

LaLiga - Round 7
Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.78
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
76% (248/327)	86% (446/518)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.77	0.38
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
19	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
18	14
Passes
76% (248/327)	86% (446/518)
Long passes
51% (32/63)	55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
62% (58/94)	80% (137/171)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.86
Throw-ins
20	15
Fouls
14	18
Tackles
36% (8/22)	62% (16/26)
Duels won
71	59
Clearances
32	23
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.38	0.77
Goals prevented
0.38	-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Jonny Otto 🟨,
27', Maffeo P. 🟨,
33', Parada V. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Asano T. ⚽, Domenech M. (A),
45+2', Samu Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Domenech M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
64', Parada V. ↓, Yusi ↑,
65', Boye L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
65', Ibanez P. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
68', Muriqi V. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
69', Asano T. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
82', Jonny Otto ↓, Calebe ↑,
82', Alena C. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
87', Darder S. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
87', Morlanes M. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
90+3', Yusi 🟨,

Chances of winning

Mallorca
46.2%

Draw
34.5%

Deportivo Alavés
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

32.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mallorca's performance.

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Alavés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Alavés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.66)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	6.05 ↑ (3)	-7.2% (3.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Alavés will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 27.4% – 68.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alavés (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Mallorca (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Alavés (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1.
Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Alavés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mallorca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Mallorca: Kumbulla M. (Hamstring Injury) Mascarell O. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Virgili J. (International duty)
There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M. (Foot Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Mallorca won against Deportivo Alavés?

Mallorca has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Mallorca?

Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:

02.03.2025 Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés 1:1

01.11.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca 1:0

24.02.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca 1:1

03.12.2023 Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés 0:0

Latest results of Mallorca

24.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Mallorca - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

15.09.2025 Espanyol - Mallorca 3:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Alavés

24.09.2025 Getafe - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Betis - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	26	21	1	4	71:26	45	64
2	Real Madrid	26	19	3	4	54:22	32	60
3	Atl. Madrid	26	15	6	5	43:23	20	51
4	Villarreal	26	16	3	7	48:31	17	51
5	Betis	26	11	10	5	42:32	10	43
6	Celta Vigo	26	10	10	6	36:28	8	40
7	Espanyol	26	10	6	10	33:39	-6	36
8	Real Sociedad	26	9	8	9	38:38	0	35
9	Ath Bilbao	26	10	5	11	30:36	-6	35
10	Osasuna	26	9	6	11	30:30	0	33
11	Getafe	26	9	5	12	21:29	-8	32
12	Sevilla	26	8	6	12	34:41	-7	30
13	Girona	26	7	9	10	27:42	-15	30
14	Valencia	26	7	8	11	27:39	-12	29
15	Rayo Vallecano	25	6	9	10	23:32	-9	27
16	Alaves	26	7	6	13	23:34	-11	27
17	Elche	26	5	11	10	34:39	-5	26
18	Mallorca	26	6	6	14	29:42	-13	24
19	Levante	26	5	6	15	28:44	-16	21
20	Oviedo	25	3	8	14	16:40	-24	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2