Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 7
- Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bangladesh | Begin |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/327) | 86% (446/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (248/327) | 86% (446/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/94) | 80% (137/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Jonny Otto 🟨,
- 27', Maffeo P. 🟨,
- 33', Parada V. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Asano T. ⚽, Domenech M. (A),
- 45+2', Samu Costa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Domenech M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 64', Parada V. ↓, Yusi ↑,
- 65', Boye L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 65', Ibanez P. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 68', Muriqi V. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
- 69', Asano T. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
- 82', Jonny Otto ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 82', Alena C. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
- 87', Darder S. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
- 87', Morlanes M. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
- 90+3', Yusi 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mallorca
46.2% | Draw
34.5% | Deportivo Alavés
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mallorca's performance.Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Alavés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Alavés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.66) |
3.15 ↑
(3.1) |
6.05 ↑
(3) |
-7.2%
(3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Alavés will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 27.4% – 68.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alavés (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Mallorca (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Alavés (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1.
- Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Alavés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mallorca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mallorca: Kumbulla M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mascarell O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodriguez D.
(Suspended)
Virgili J.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mallorca won against Deportivo Alavés?
Mallorca has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Mallorca?
Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
02.03.2025
Mallorca
-
Deportivo Alavés
1:1
01.11.2024
Deportivo Alavés
-
Mallorca
1:0
24.02.2024
Deportivo Alavés
-
Mallorca
1:1
03.12.2023
Mallorca
-
Deportivo Alavés
0:0
Latest results of Mallorca
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona ✔ | 29 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 78:28 | 50 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 69 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Betis | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 44:37 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Getafe | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 25:31 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 | Ath Bilbao | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:35 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Valencia | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Girona | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 37:49 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Alaves | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Elche | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 19 | Levante | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 26 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
