Mallorca vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDSports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV 22, SCTV Online, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.221.27
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
26
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
64
Passes
79% (244/309)88% (499/568)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.221.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.26
Total shots
615
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
513
Shots outside the box
12
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1241
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
15
Free kicks
1316
Passes
79% (244/309)88% (499/568)
Long passes
46% (30/65)68% (36/53)
Passes in final third
64% (42/66)81% (161/200)
Crosses
13% (2/16)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.341.41
Throw ins
2229
Fouls
1613
Tackles
46% (6/13)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3251
Clearances
2818
Interceptions
153
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
1.261.12
Goals prevented
0.26-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Morlanes M. , Maffeo P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 59', Huijsen D. , Eder Militao ,
  • 59', Moran M. A. , Vinicius Junior ,
  • 59', Camavinga E. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 66', Roman L. 🟨,
  • 70', Samu Costa , Lopez D. ,
  • 70', Morlanes M. , Joseph M. ,
  • 70', Torre P. , Virgili J. ,
  • 72', Guler A. , Pitarch T. ,
  • 76', Diaz B. , Mastantuono F. ,
  • 81', Luvumbo Z. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 84', Valjent M. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Eder Militao , Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
  • 90', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Muriqi V. , Joseph M. (A),
  • 90+5', Maffeo P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mallorca
17.4%
Draw
21.4%
Real Madrid
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 22.9% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4% 22.8% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Mallorca - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.51
    (4.87)
    4.49
    (4.14)
    1.56
    (1.65)
    4.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Mallorca - Real Madrid?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 - Mallorca (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Real (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Real (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Real (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Real (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (48 of 58 users predict this - 82.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.04%92.48%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Real (votes: 13 - 86.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.
    • Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Real is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Real is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Bergstrom L. (Injury) Raillo A. (Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Courtois T. (Thigh Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Valverde F. (Red Card)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 10:39. (average 0.7:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mallorca - Real Madrid were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    14.05.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    09.01.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 3:0
    18.08.2024 Mallorca - Real Madrid 1:1
    13.04.2024 Mallorca - Real Madrid 0:1
    Latest results of Mallorca
    21.03.2026 Elche - Mallorca 2:1
    15.03.2026 Mallorca - Espanyol 2:1
    07.03.2026 Osasuna - Mallorca 2:2
    28.02.2026 Mallorca - Real Sociedad 0:1
    22.02.2026 Celta de Vigo - Mallorca 2:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 34291489:315888
    2Real Madrid ✔ 33235568:313774
    3Villarreal ✔ 34215864:392568
    4Atl. Madrid34196958:372163
    5Betis331214749:41850
    6Celta Vigo3412111148:44447
    7Getafe341351628:36-844
    8Ath Bilbao341351640:50-1044
    9Real Sociedad3311101252:52043
    10Osasuna341191440:42-242
    11Rayo Vallecano3410121235:41-642
    12Valencia341091537:50-1339
    13Espanyol331091437:49-1239
    14Elche349111445:53-838
    15Mallorca341081642:51-938
    16Girona349111436:51-1538
    17Alaves34991640:53-1336
    18Sevilla33971740:55-1534
    19Levante34891738:55-1733
    20Oviedo336101726:51-2528

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Villarreal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )