Copenhagen vs Malmö – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
12/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkFCK TV
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.71
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
88% (427/488)84% (378/451)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.21
Total shots
127
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
615
Passes
88% (427/488)84% (378/451)
Long passes
46% (25/54)42% (16/38)
Passes in final third
82% (116/141)76% (71/94)
Crosses
57% (8/14)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.77
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
156
Tackles
54% (7/13)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3650
Clearances
207
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.212.58
Goals prevented
0.21-2.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', Rosengren O. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Huescas R. , Cornelius A. (A),
  • 36', Djuric A. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Robert , Elyounoussi M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Djuric A. , Ali T. ,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Elyounoussi M. , Larsson J. (A),
  • 59', Rosengren O. , Ekong E. ,
  • 59', Johnsen L. , Skogmar A. ,
  • 65', Larsson J. , Claesson V. ,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Mattsson M. , Elyounoussi M. (A),
  • 69', 5 - 0, Robert , Cornelius A. (A),
  • 71', Berg O. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 71', Cornelius A. , Moukoko Y. ,
  • 71', Mattsson M. , Clem W. ,
  • 76', Lopez M. , Meling B. ,
  • 77', Huescas R. , Zague Y. ,
  • 80', Haksabanovic S. , Gudjohnsen D. T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Copenhagen
54.8%
Draw
27.5%
Malmö
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 29.2% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 28.1% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Copenhagen - Malmö Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.92)
    3.46
    (3.28)
    5.31
    (4.61)
    5.6%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Copenhagen - Malmö?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • TQ, OT - Copenhagen (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Malmö (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Malmö (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Malmö (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Malmö (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (109 of 127 users predict this - 85.83%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.76%91.9%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Copenhagen will win (68 of 73 users predict this - 93.15%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 78 high ROI users predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 69 - 88.5%). Malmö (votes: 6 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 3.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Copenhagen is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Copenhagen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Copenhagen - Malmö were as follows:
    05.08.2025 Malmö - Copenhagen 0:0
    Latest results of Copenhagen
    08.08.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 2:3
    05.08.2025 Malmö - Copenhagen 0:0
    01.08.2025 Fredericia - Copenhagen 0:2
    29.07.2025 Drita Gjilan - Copenhagen 0:1
    Latest results of Malmö
    09.08.2025 Malmö - Mjällby 1:3
    05.08.2025 Malmö - Copenhagen 0:0
    30.07.2025 Malmö - RFS 1:0
    26.07.2025 Brommapojkarna - Malmö 2:3
    22.07.2025 RFS - Malmö 1:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2