Malmö vs Hammarby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
27/10/2025 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 28
  • Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.99
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
79% (299/380)86% (510/592)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.58
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
79% (299/380)86% (510/592)
Long passes
44% (23/52)28% (13/47)
Passes in final third
62% (58/94)78% (120/154)
Crosses
40% (6/15)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.72
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1411
Tackles
69% (11/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
1925
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.581.42
Goals prevented
-1.420.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Besara N. , Abraham P. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Abraham P. , Skoglund H. (A),
  • 33', Lewicki O. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 3, Stryger J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gudjohnsen D. T. , Ekong E. ,
  • 46', Skogmar A. , Ali T. ,
  • 50', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
  • 52', Jansson P. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Olsson M. ,
  • 63', Lahdo A. , Johansson O. ,
  • 63', Bolin H. , Soumah S. ,
  • 63', Olsson M. , Busanello ,
  • 69', Vagic P. 🟨,
  • 76', Haksabanovic S. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 80', Madjed M. , Strand S. ,
  • 80', Tekie T. , Junior Adjei F. ,
  • 80', Abraham P. , Okeke O. ,
  • 90+4', Besara N. , Kabore M. ,

Chances of winning


Malmö
44%
Draw
26.8%
Hammarby
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 26.1% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 25.6% 31%

Malmö - Hammarby Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.15
(2.13)
3.51
(3.55)
3.2
(3.05)
6.3%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Malmö - Hammarby?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Hammarby will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Malmö (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Hammarby (1.67) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.
    • Malmö has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hammarby is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hammarby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Malmö is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Berg O. (Inactive) Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Christiansen A. (Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 2.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Hammarby were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Hammarby - Malmö 2:0
    02.11.2024 Hammarby - Malmö 2:2
    07.04.2024 Malmö - Hammarby 2:0
    17.09.2023 Hammarby - Malmö 1:3
    01.10.2022 Malmö - Hammarby 0:0
    Latest results of Malmö
    23.10.2025 Malmö - Dinamo Zagreb 1:1
    18.10.2025 Norrköping - Malmö 0:2
    05.10.2025 Sirius - Malmö 5:1
    02.10.2025 Viktoria Plzeň - Malmö 3:0
    28.09.2025 Malmö - Värnamo 3:2
    Latest results of Hammarby
    19.10.2025 Hammarby - AIK 2:1
    05.10.2025 IFK Göteborg - Hammarby 1:2
    28.09.2025 Halmstad - Hammarby 1:0
    21.09.2025 Hammarby - Häcken 4:0
    14.09.2025 Djurgården - Hammarby 3:3
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1NorrkopingOrgryte0 : 0, 0 : 3