Hammarby vs Malmö – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

3Arena (Stockholm).

Allsvenskan - Round 5
Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Sportklub
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.40
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
87% (451/516)	85% (398/467)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.62	0.29
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
22	17
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	19
Passes
87% (451/516)	85% (398/467)
Long passes
53% (25/47)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
83% (137/165)	73% (97/133)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.41
Fouls
19	12
Tackles
56% (15/27)	78% (18/23)
Duels won
53	65
Clearances Total
18	26
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.29	0.62
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Johnsen L. 🟨,
32', Eriksson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', Ali T. ↓, Haksabanovic S. ↑,
73', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Tounekti S. ⚽, Besara N. (A),
75', Abraham P. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
82', Skogmar A. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
82', Rosengren O. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
84', Tounekti S. ↓, Strand S. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Karlsson M. ⚽,
87', Zatterstrom N. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
87', Botheim E. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
90+2', Tekie T. 🟨,
90+4', Tekie T. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Hammarby
41.3%

Draw
28.5%

Malmö
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby's performance.

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hammarby - Malmö Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.6)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	3.15 ↑ (2.55)	5.3% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Hammarby - Malmö?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Malmö will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 1 - 25%). Malmö (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hammarby won 0.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D. (Knee Injury) Johansson O. (Injury) Winther F. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Lewicki O. (Calf Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Inactive) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Hammarby won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 21:41 (average 1.1:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Hammarby won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.4:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Malmö?

Hammarby has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Hammarby?

Malmö has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Malmö were as follows:

02.11.2024 Hammarby - Malmö 2:2

07.04.2024 Malmö - Hammarby 2:0

17.09.2023 Hammarby - Malmö 1:3

01.10.2022 Malmö - Hammarby 0:0

Latest results of Hammarby

18.04.2025 Mjällby - Hammarby 3:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Hammarby - Djurgården 2:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Brommapojkarna - Hammarby 0:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Hammarby - IFK Göteborg 4:0 ✺

22.03.2025 HJK - Hammarby 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Malmö

18.04.2025 Malmö - Sirius 1:1 ✺

14.04.2025 AIK - Malmö 0:0 ✺

07.04.2025 Malmö - Elfsborg 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Djurgården - Malmö 0:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Malmö - Elfsborg 1:0 ✺

Swedish Allsvenskan Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mjallby	18	13	4	1	35:14	21	43
2	Hammarby	18	12	3	3	34:16	18	39
3	Malmo FF	18	9	6	3	28:14	14	33
4	AIK	18	9	6	3	24:16	8	33
5	Elfsborg	17	10	2	5	31:22	9	32
6	GAIS	17	8	7	2	27:13	14	31
7	Djurgarden	17	7	4	6	21:18	3	25
8	Goteborg	17	8	1	8	24:26	-2	25
9	Hacken	17	6	4	7	25:31	-6	22
10	Brommapojkarna	17	6	1	10	23:25	-2	19
11	Norrkoping	17	5	4	8	25:29	-4	19
12	Halmstad	17	5	2	10	14:34	-20	17
13	Degerfors	17	4	2	11	18:36	-18	14
14	Sirius	17	3	4	10	22:30	-8	13
15	Oster	17	3	4	10	12:23	-11	13
16	Varnamo	17	1	4	12	15:31	-16	7

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Allsvenskan (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Superettan