Result
2:0
23/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 5
- Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Sportklub |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (451/516) | 85% (398/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (451/516) | 85% (398/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (137/165) | 73% (97/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 65 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Johnsen L. 🟨,
- 32', Eriksson V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 70', Ali T. ↓, Haksabanovic S. ↑,
- 73', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 0, Tounekti S. ⚽, Besara N. (A),
- 75', Abraham P. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
- 82', Skogmar A. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
- 82', Rosengren O. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
- 84', Tounekti S. ↓, Strand S. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 0, Karlsson M. ⚽,
- 87', Zatterstrom N. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
- 87', Botheim E. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
- 90+2', Tekie T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Tekie T. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hammarby
41.3% | Draw
28.5% | Malmö
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby's performance.Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hammarby - Malmö Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.6) |
3.32 ↓
(3.5) |
3.15 ↑
(2.55) |
5.3%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hammarby - Malmö?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Malmö will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 1 - 25%). Malmö (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hammarby won 0.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D.
(Knee Injury)
Johansson O.
(Injury)
Winther F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Lewicki O.
(Calf Injury)
Sigurdsson A.
(Inactive)
Tinnerholm A.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Hammarby won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 21:41 (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hammarby won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Malmö?
Hammarby has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Hammarby?
Malmö has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Malmö were as follows:
02.11.2024
Hammarby
-
Malmö
2:2
07.04.2024
Malmö
-
Hammarby
2:0
17.09.2023
Hammarby
-
Malmö
1:3
01.10.2022
Malmö
-
Hammarby
0:0
Latest results of Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 39:16 | 23 | 47 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | GAIS | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 35 |
| 6 | AIK | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 34 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 34 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 32:34 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Hacken | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26:35 | -9 | 23 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 | Sirius | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | Oster | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16:25 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15:40 | -25 | 18 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20:42 | -22 | 15 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
