Malmö vs Ludogorets Razgrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
1:2
24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 10
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.95
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
86% (500/581)81% (315/387)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.662.56
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
07
Shots inside the Box
514
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
149
Passes
86% (500/581)81% (315/387)
Long passes
42% (13/31)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
71% (121/171)73% (70/96)
Crosses
24% (4/17)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.47
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
914
Tackles
50% (7/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
1233
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
2.560.66
Goals prevented
0.56-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', Busanello 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Stanic P. (Pen),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Bile E. ⚽,
  • 43', Skogmar A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Christiansen A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Christiansen A. ↓, Johnsen L. ↑,
  • 61', Son 🟨,
  • 63', Bile E. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
  • 63', Stanic P. ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
  • 76', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
  • 76', Skogmar A. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Johnsen L. ⚽, Ali T. (A),
  • 81', Erick Marcus ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
  • 88', Duarte D. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
  • 88', Almeida D. ↓, Verdon O. ↑,
  • 89', Caio Vidal 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pedro Naressi 🟨,

Chances of winning


Malmö
58.3%		Draw
24%		Ludogorets Razgrad
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 23.7% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 22.9% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
    •

    Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.66 ↓
    (1.71)    		 3.99
    (3.99)    		 5.41 ↑
    (4.5)    		 3.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Malmö - Ludogorets Razgrad?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Malmö (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Malmö (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Malmö (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Malmö will win (52 of 54 users predict this - 96.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 91.27% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Malmö (votes: 24 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Malmö is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ludogorets: Terziev G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Malmö: Olsson M. (Muscle Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ludogorets: Camara A. (Injury) Duah K. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Malmö
    20.09.2025 Malmö - Djurgården 0:1 ✺
    17.09.2025 Olympic - Malmö 0:1
    14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1 ✺
    28.08.2025 Sigma Olomouc - Malmö 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    19.09.2025 Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad 0:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv 2:1 ✺
    28.08.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo 4:1 ✺
    21.08.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Ludogorets Razgrad 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)2 : 1
    2Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 2
    3Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)1 : 3
    4PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)1 : 2
    5Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 4
    6Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)0 : 3
    7Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1
    8Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)0 : 1
    9FC Porto (5)Bye
    10Braga (6)Bye
    11Midtjylland (3)Bye
    12Betis (4)Bye
    13Freiburg (7)Bye
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lyon (1)Bye
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye
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