Result
3:1
12/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 15
- Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (398/474) | 84% (420/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (398/474) | 84% (420/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (135/171) | 77% (103/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 4.52 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Jansson K. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Haksabanovic S. ⚽, Kiese I. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Bolin H. ⚽, Karlsson J. (A),
- 57', Jansson K. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
- 57', Fransson A. ↓, Bronner A. ↑,
- 63', Kiese I. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
- 72', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Prica T. ↑,
- 72', Lushaku I. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
- 75', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
- 75', Stryger J. 🟨,
- 78', Kalley Y. 🟨,
- 78', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 78', Rosengren O. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
- 78', Bolin H. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 0, Ekong E. ⚽, Busanello (A),
- 85', Jansson P. ↓, Lewicki O. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Nyman C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Malmö
72.9% | Draw
16.7% | Norrköping
10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norrköping might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norrköping could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Malmö - Norrköping Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.52) |
5.58 ↑
(4.32) |
8.98 ↑
(5.92) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Malmö - Norrköping?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Norrköping will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 59.8% – 94.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Malmö is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Christiansen A.
(Inactive)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Olsen R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S.
(Knee Injury)
Mitov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:25. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Norrköping?
Malmö has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norrköping won against Malmö?
Norrköping has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Norrköping were as follows:
17.08.2024
Malmö
-
Norrköping
2:1
30.03.2024
Norrköping
-
Malmö
1:5
10.03.2024
Malmö
-
Norrköping
5:2
29.10.2023
Norrköping
-
Malmö
0:1
24.04.2023
Malmö
-
Norrköping
3:0
Latest results of Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | GAIS | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 6 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14:34 | -20 | 17 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 14 |
| 14 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
