Malmö vs Norrköping – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Malmö - Norrköping
Result
3:1
12/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 15
  • Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8
finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.001.38
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
84% (398/474)84% (420/499)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.001.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.410.61
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
1410
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
4921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
84% (398/474)84% (420/499)
Long passes
58% (22/38)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
79% (135/171)77% (103/134)
Crosses
46% (6/13)43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
4.521.08
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
2014
Tackles
85% (11/13)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5153
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.612.41
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Jansson K. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Haksabanovic S. , Kiese I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Bolin H. , Karlsson J. (A),
  • 57', Jansson K. , Kalley Y. ,
  • 57', Fransson A. , Bronner A. ,
  • 63', Kiese I. , Ali T. ,
  • 72', Karlsson D.M. , Prica T. ,
  • 72', Lushaku I. , Arnarsson J. ,
  • 75', Haksabanovic S. 🟨,
  • 75', Stryger J. 🟨,
  • 78', Kalley Y. 🟨,
  • 78', Haksabanovic S. , Busuladzic K. ,
  • 78', Rosengren O. , Sigurdsson A. ,
  • 78', Bolin H. , Ekong E. ,
  • 81', 3 - 0, Ekong E. , Busanello (A),
  • 85', Jansson P. , Lewicki O. ,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Nyman C. ,

Chances of winning


Malmö
72.9%
Draw
16.7%
Norrköping
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 21.9% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 21.5% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.
  • Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norrköping might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norrköping could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Malmö - Norrköping Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.52)
    5.58
    (4.32)
    8.98
    (5.92)
    5.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Malmö - Norrköping?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Norrköping will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 59.8%94.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Malmö is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Christiansen A. (Inactive) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Olsen R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:25. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Norrköping were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Malmö - Norrköping 2:1
    30.03.2024 Norrköping - Malmö 1:5
    10.03.2024 Malmö - Norrköping 5:2
    29.10.2023 Norrköping - Malmö 0:1
    24.04.2023 Malmö - Norrköping 3:0
    Latest results of Malmö
    08.07.2025 Iberia 1999 - Malmö 1:3
    05.07.2025 GAIS - Malmö 0:0
    30.06.2025 Mjällby - Malmö 1:1
    01.06.2025 Malmö - Häcken 3:0
    29.05.2025 Malmö - Häcken 0:1
    Latest results of Norrköping
    30.06.2025 Djurgården - Norrköping 1:1
    31.05.2025 Norrköping - GAIS 0:3
    26.05.2025 Norrköping - Mjällby 1:1
    19.05.2025 Sirius - Norrköping 1:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby17124133:132040
    2Hammarby17113331:141736
    3Malmo FF1896328:141433
    4AIK1795324:16832
    5GAIS1787227:131431
    6Elfsborg1692527:19829
    7Goteborg1681721:22-125
    8Hacken1664624:25-122
    9Djurgarden1664615:17-222
    10Brommapojkarna17611023:25-219
    11Norrkoping1754825:29-419
    12Halmstad17521014:34-2017
    13Degerfors17421118:36-1814
    14Sirius1634921:28-713
    15Oster16331012:23-1112
    16Varnamo16141113:28-157

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