Malvín vs Aguada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
89:72
07/01/2026 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7571
Field Goals Made
3228
Field Goals %
42.67%39.44%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4743
2-Point Field Goals Made
2219
2-Point Field Goals %
46.81%44.19%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2828
3-Point Field Goals Made
109
3-Point Field Goals %
35.71%32.14%
Free Throws Attempted
187
Free Throws Made
154
Free Throws %
83.3%57.1%
Offensive Rebounds
1614
Defensive Rebounds
3027
Total Rebounds
4641
Assists
1717
Blocks
45
Turnovers
1015
Steals
76
Personal Fouls
1822

Chances of winning


Malvín
34.5%
Aguada
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malvín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malvín's form might have worsened.
  • Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aguada's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malvín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aguada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Malvín - Aguada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.27)

    1.41
    (1.5)
    8.5%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 171.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Malvín - Aguada?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Malvín (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aguada (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5, OT - Aguada (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Malvín (votes: 1 - 25%). Aguada (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Aguada will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1619:1685. (average 81:84.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malvín won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 627:639. (average 78.4:79.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malvín - Aguada were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Aguada - Malvín 94:82
    12.05.2025 Aguada - Malvín 111:99
    08.05.2025 Malvín - Aguada 76:83
    05.05.2025 Aguada - Malvín 93:80
    29.04.2025 Malvín - Aguada 87:83
    Latest results of Malvín
    19.12.2025 Welcome - Malvín 99:89
    09.12.2025 Cordón - Malvín 77:91
    05.12.2025 Unión Atlética - Malvín 72:78
    18.11.2025 Malvín - Hebraica y Macabi 52:61
    Latest results of Aguada
    20.12.2025 Aguada - Nacional 98:94
    16.12.2025 Urunday Universitario - Aguada 99:104
    12.12.2025 Aguada - Minas 74:77
    10.12.2025 Aguada - Boca Juniors 71:88
    19.11.2025 Goes - Aguada 76:93
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol221931933:161139
    2Hebraica y Macabi221481860:179836
    3Malvin221481799:177934
    4Nacional221482031:182834
    5Defensor2212101902:187134
    6Aguada221572022:190433
    7Union Atletica2211111826:181533
    8Bigua2211111944:195433
    9Urunday229131956:189931
    10Goes226161797:196028
    11Welcome224181776:209426
    12Cordon223191771:210423

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